M
Marginal
Junior Member
Silver Level
2/5 game live. 300BB effective. Just sat down no reads. Played 5 hands at th table and spewed like 80bb so villain thinks I'm a fish I assume
Utg straddles to 10 I raise to 35 with QQ
MP flats and BTN makes it 150 (lol live raise sizes)
I call and MP folds
Flop comes Td9h2c we both check
Turn is 6d and again both check
River is 3d and I make a value/ blocker bet for 120. Villain raise to 280
What do we do?
Should note villain is like 25-30 years old so assume somewhat competent. Thing about it is he never has AA or KK. His range has to be AKdd or air and even then I would expect him to bet turn
Thoughts?
Utg straddles to 10 I raise to 35 with QQ
MP flats and BTN makes it 150 (lol live raise sizes)
I call and MP folds
Flop comes Td9h2c we both check
Turn is 6d and again both check
River is 3d and I make a value/ blocker bet for 120. Villain raise to 280
What do we do?
Should note villain is like 25-30 years old so assume somewhat competent. Thing about it is he never has AA or KK. His range has to be AKdd or air and even then I would expect him to bet turn
Thoughts?
W
Weisssound
Rock Star
Silver Level
For the 2/5:
When you check the turn AKd, AQd, will usually be betting. The weird thing is those hands should probably be continuing on the flop. As would pocket TT, pocket 99, and any screwball hands like a frisky QJd.
My only real concern on that river is actually a rivered set of 6s. That's the only thing I can see played that way, and quite frankly his bet sizing is way small for that - especially considering his gungho bet pre-flop.
Factor in that AA, KK would not have 3-bet pre-flop THAT much. $120 would be the number for that I'd think. $150 looks more like JJ, AK, AQ - the "I'm ok with a call but would prefer a fold" sizing.
Add it all up and it's a call.
When you check the turn AKd, AQd, will usually be betting. The weird thing is those hands should probably be continuing on the flop. As would pocket TT, pocket 99, and any screwball hands like a frisky QJd.
My only real concern on that river is actually a rivered set of 6s. That's the only thing I can see played that way, and quite frankly his bet sizing is way small for that - especially considering his gungho bet pre-flop.
Factor in that AA, KK would not have 3-bet pre-flop THAT much. $120 would be the number for that I'd think. $150 looks more like JJ, AK, AQ - the "I'm ok with a call but would prefer a fold" sizing.
Add it all up and it's a call.
Ducky7
Cardschat Elite
Silver Level
My thoughts are... this is known as the Ducky bet....
And i feel like we have to call but it seems like we shouldn't be ahead as he shouldn't be bad enough to bluff with this but its live **** it
xdeucesx
Bar Master
Bronze Level
weeeee
WVHillbilly
Legend
Silver Level
Congrats.
duggs
Killing me softly
Silver Level
yea ill emerge from my hibernation i think
micromachine
Legend
Silver Level
honeycrush
Legend
Bronze Level
Hardly played since withdrawing most of my bankroll, been too busy organizing moving house, city and job. Played a few thousand hands of 2nl and found it really boring tbh but enjoying a bit of 2PLO Zoom on my commute to work
Congrats on finishing the thesis Duggs!
Hey mm - just saw you battling it out on the zoom PLO streets! That's my new home. LOTS of variance.
glglAnd duggs - congrats!
Matt Vaughan
King of Moody Rants
Bronze Level
+1 -> getting banned easily is the most +ev move for ducky
