thwenth1983
Visionary
Platinum Level
Good morning everyone. I started playing poker in 2018, and at first I also thought it was suspicious that villains would hit with low odds, but it's part of poker and it's bound to happen.
What I've read about this topic is that our brains tend to store the bad beats we take, and we think this happens all the time. This isn't true. Just look at statistics software and you'll notice the odds are close to mathematical probability.
Your AA will lose about 19% of the time against small pairs, and when we check Poker Tracker 4, the statistics are close, as are all the other statistics.
You can rest assured about the sites' RNG; they are completely safe and accurate. Bad bets are part of the game and will happen often within the percentage predicted by mathematics.
What I've read about this topic is that our brains tend to store the bad beats we take, and we think this happens all the time. This isn't true. Just look at statistics software and you'll notice the odds are close to mathematical probability.
Your AA will lose about 19% of the time against small pairs, and when we check Poker Tracker 4, the statistics are close, as are all the other statistics.
You can rest assured about the sites' RNG; they are completely safe and accurate. Bad bets are part of the game and will happen often within the percentage predicted by mathematics.
Goggelheimer
Legend
Platinum Level
That what keeps them coming to the games.
C
Chunhong319
Enthusiast
Silver Level
Haha, I know that feeling all too well! I keep trying to withdraw from my own imaginary variance bank, but apparently it’s always “under review.” 😂
D
deckix
Rising Star
Bronze Level
- Hitting at least one of your 3 outs on the flop (three cards dealt at once, starting from preflop)
= 1 - \dfrac{\binom{47}{3}}{\binom{50}{3}} ≈ 17.27% — about 4.8:1 against. - Hitting on the turn (one next card) given you already saw the flop and still have 3 outs
= 3/47 ≈ 6.383% — about 14.7:1 against. - Hitting by the river (turn or river) from after the flop (two cards to come)
= 1 - \dfrac{44}{47}\cdot\dfrac{43}{46} ≈ 12.49% — about 7.0:1 against. - Hitting by the turn counting flop+turn from preflop (i.e., among the flop’s 3 cards or the single turn card)
= chance flop hits OR (flop misses and turn hits) ≈ 22.55% — about 3.4:1 against.
DarkSage
Enthusiast
Silver Level