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Message: [QUOTE="TPC, post: 5379940, member: 46273"] After stepping away from the game I love for many years I've finally came back! I've missed the competition and also the community here at CC. Below, is a hand I found interesting from today's session, and how not trusting our reads can cost us value. Winning Poker, [I][COLOR=#1515FC]Hold'em No Limit[/COLOR][/I] - $0.02/$0.05 - 5 players [URL="https://upswingpoker.com/replayer/3qaIZdq"]Replay this hand on Upswing Poker[/URL] UTG: $5.10 (102 bb) [B][COLOR=#C4302B]CO: $5.87 (117 bb)[/COLOR][/B] [B][COLOR=#C4302B]BU (Hero): $13.13 (263 bb)[/COLOR][/B] SB: $9.38 (188 bb) BB: $3.80 (76 bb) [B]Pre-Flop:[/B] ($0.07) Hero is BTN with J[COLOR=#000000]♠[/COLOR] Q[COLOR=#000000]♠[/COLOR] [COLOR=#666666][I]1 fold[/I][/COLOR], [COLOR=#C51F1F]CO raises to $0.14[/COLOR], [B]Hero calls $0.14[/B], [COLOR=#666666][I]1 fold[/I][/COLOR], BB calls $0.09 [B]Flop:[/B] ($0.44) 5[COLOR=#008000]♣[/COLOR] Q[COLOR=#0000FF]♦[/COLOR] 4[COLOR=#0000FF]♦[/COLOR] [COLOR=#009B00](3 players)[/COLOR] BB checks, [COLOR=#C51F1F]CO bets $0.44[/COLOR], [B]Hero calls $0.44[/B], [COLOR=#666666][I]BB folds[/I][/COLOR] [B]Turn:[/B] ($1.32) Q[COLOR=#008000]♣[/COLOR] [COLOR=#009B00](2 players)[/COLOR] CO checks, [B][COLOR=#C51F1F]Hero bets $0.66[/COLOR][/B], CO calls $0.66 [B]River:[/B] ($2.64) T[COLOR=#008000]♣[/COLOR] [COLOR=#009B00](2 players)[/COLOR] CO checks, [B]Hero checks[/B] [B]Total pot:[/B] $2.64 (Rake: $0.13) [B]Showdown:[/B] BU (Hero) shows J[COLOR=#000000]♠[/COLOR] Q[COLOR=#000000]♠[/COLOR] (three of a kind, Queens) [I]([URL="http://www.propokertools.com/simulations/unrolled?g=he&s=generic&b=5cQd4dQcTc&h1=JsQs&h2=AsAh"]Equity[/URL] - Pre-Flop: 19%, Flop: 18%, Turn: 95%, River: 100%)[/I] CO shows A[COLOR=#000000]♠[/COLOR] A[COLOR=#FF0000]♥[/COLOR] (two pair, Aces and Queens) [I]([URL="http://www.propokertools.com/simulations/unrolled?g=he&s=generic&b=5cQd4dQcTc&h1=JsQs&h2=AsAh"]Equity[/URL] - Pre-Flop: 81%, Flop: 82%, Turn: 5%, River: 0%)[/I] BU (Hero) wins $2.51 On the flop villain makes a huge pot bet after the BB checks. My first though is villain has AQ or a big pair here possibly. I decide to call and see what happens on the turn, I don't have a lot of history with this player. When the Q comes on the turn, I'm thinking well, villain can also take this line with a set of 5's or 4's and as much as I wanted to raise the turn, I decide to just call and keep the pot as small as possible. Then when a flush possibility hits the river and villain checks, I'm even more cautious. I figure I have great show down value and just check behind. When we flip the cards over and I saw villain had AA, I was upset with myself. My read from the very start with that first pot sized bet was villain had a big pair or AQ. AQ is less likely after the turn comes so then we are looking at AA or KK. Now, I don't like putting villain on such a narrow range of hands because we can talk ourself into doing some -ev things, but in some spots I think we need to trust our gut. That big pot bet screamed to me big pair! Then I started looking for monsters under the bed. I started looking for things that weren't there and being worried about the flush on the river was irrelevant the way this hand played. Had I raised the turn, I most likely could've stacked villain here. The way it played out, I should've bet for value on the river. I don't see someone at 5nl folding AA for a half pot bet on the river. I would like to hear your thoughts on this hand and this topic. [/QUOTE]

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