I thought about this for a long time, its true. It doesn't make sense for it to be rigged if there are people making profit from it consistently, that's why I tried to trust it. But man, after losing like 10x AKs IN SEQUENCE. Really, my faith is drained. Too many times floping pocket kings just to find out the other person had pocket aces. Besides, the percentage of people really profiting consistently from poker is super small compared to amount of people playing.
So yeah, the only explanation I've got to these super winners is this:
Central Limit Theorem.
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If you take a sufficiently large random sample from any population, the distribution of the sample means will be approximately normally distributed, regardless of the population's original distribution. That means that most people will be around zero in terms of gain/loss, as they should. But it also means that a small amount of players will be very unlucky, will suffer lots of bad hits and loose much more than the mean(
that's me
), and it also means that a small percentage of the players will be incredibly lucky, and will make good hits out of most of their good hands and profit much more than the mean(
thats Juan Pardo, or Adrián Mateos if you may). And that's just the nature of these things.
The lucky guy will later on produce a poker course to "explain how he won(he got lucky lol)", and then he'll be rich selling courses. Detail: most of his students won't be able to match his results, only a few. Why only a few? Central Limit Theorem. Only a few of his students will get lucky as he was.
Only this week:
- KK loosing to 64o, the board was X6X64(all in from preflop, I usually don't play these hands all in, but this situation required it. Now, who goes all in with 64o? cheaters, obviously, the guy was probably being able to see the flop cards before other players)
- J10, flop comes XXJ, I bet small with top pair. Turn is a 10, no draws on the board, I bet big. Villain won with 10-10 (he floped the ONE SINGLE card he could to win)
- AKs, KKs, QQs, JJs: several losses with theses hands, I mean up to now, AKs are the absolute worst hand in this game in my experience. I'd rather play a 74o than any AKs, its just AWAYS a trap. It either don't hit, or when it does, there's aways somebody with something better. I can almost guess other peoples hands by this point when I play them... I mean, its a clear pattern...
And this is nothing, its just the tip. I could be here all day telling you dozens of hands like that. Endless hands man, I lost count of them too long ago. I'm talking about CONSTANT bad beats like that. Hands where I had A-flush just to find out the other guy had a fullhouse with 65 whatever, hands where I had a fullhouse from flop, just to find out the other guy had quads. QUADS. I know this could happen sometimes, but this ofte? Are u sure? Too often to be real. This happens basically everyday. To me, it just seems very hard to trust it.
Of course skill has its part on the game. That being said, you can be as skillfull as you desire, at the end of the day, if your cards hit wrongly, you're dead. Hands like the ones I mentioned, this J10 for example, I hardly doubt a professional would be able to dodge it.
But hey, believe whatever you want, god bless you. ^^
