underdog140 said:
While I tend to agree with most of your post, lets not forget Aldo wanted to go up and challenge for the LW belt in the past but Dana was going to make him drop the 145lb belt first. So Aldo decided against it. So as we already know, he is willing to go up. He was the one and only 145lb champion for a very long time. He would do just fine at LW despite being a little undersized for it.
I know what you're getting at, but IMO that stuff was all just talk - and talk at a point where there wasn't really any talking worth doing at 145. We don't know if he was ever serious about doing it or not - I suspect not, but we'll never know.
Back then, that talk was only happening because he'd "cleaned out" the featherweight division. That was then. I think it's pretty clear
now though that the only good reason for Aldo to move up to 155 at this stage would be for a fight with Conor. There's zero reason for him to move up and fight any other lightweight.
So it all really comes back to does Conor want to fight Aldo again? And after that, does Aldo want to fight Conor again? My guess is he will if he's smart, because money. What weight class it would happen at is only really a consideration after those two questions get answered.
underdog140 said:
Conor will pick who he thinks generates the most money and is the less risk to hurting his "brand". Which is why he is willing to fight bigger guys. He needs an excuse when he loses. He has already proven he will take what he sees as the easier fight if given the chance. He proved that the moment he choose to fight an unprepared Nate Diaz over other fight ready opponents at UFC 196.
Yes he absolutely picks fights that are going to draw the most eyeballs and make him the most money. That's just smart business.
But I think the argument that he takes the "easier fight" gets harder and harder to make each time.
Did the UFC give him easy matchups in the leadup to his first title challenge? Sure - though the fights with Poirier and Holloway don't look like such layups in hindsight. But after that:
- He signs on to fight Aldo, the toughest fight in the division. And ends up fighting Chad Mendes, a horrible style matchup for him, on a bum knee and short notice.
- He fights Aldo, who is still the toughest fight in the division.
- He signs on to fight RDA, another tough fight. Ends up fighting Diaz a rangy southpaw who was never a good matchup for Conor (YMMV, see below).
- He fights Diaz again, after we
know it's a bad matchup for him
- He fights Alvarez. Probably the best/easiest matchup for him here in terms of style and physicality. But Conor doesn't get to choose who holds the belt he's trying to win, so you can hardly fault him for that.
The only time there you can really argue that he "chose" an "easier" fight is the first Diaz fight. And absolutely your mileage may vary, but I don't think it was a particularly easy matchup.
More to the point though, there were four names in the mix for that fight after RDA pulled out: Diaz, Cerrone, Pettis and Frankie Edgar (
http://www.mmafighting.com/2016/2/2...jured-out-of-ufc-196-main-event-fight-against)
Frankie was injured so that wasn't a real option. IMO Pettis was by far the easiest matchup of that bunch, but he didn't take him. That leaves Diaz and Cerrone, and he chose Diaz.
Since he first challenged for a belt, I think the worst thing you can accuse Conor of in terms of taking "easier" fights is choosing Diaz over Cerrone on short notice. And when it comes down to it, I strongly suspect he made a decision based on which fight would do bigger business, not who the easier opponent was. But again, YMMV I guess. I'd be interested to know when else you think he chose the easy matchup in that stretch though...