NFL Betting Thread 2021/2022

[ribbybruno]

Welcome to the NFL 2021/2022 Betting Thread!

Post your wagers in this thread. Who has the winning edge picking Pro Football?
Share hot tips or data so we all can win! Best picker who participates in this thread will receive a prize from me! ( $$) Good luck all!

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ADRI7HO won 2020/2021 for playing throughout the season at 74% - well done!


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Ribby stats - Last 4 years of running this thread -


2017/2018 NFL Season (32-27-4)

2018/2019 NFL Season (37-32-1)

2019/2020 NFL Season (61-71-2) Super Bowl (0-7) sent me 10 games under for year

2020/2021 NFL Season (81-66-4)


Let's have some fun!

 

[ADRI7HO]

Pre-season Hall of Fame Inaugural Match:

Pittsburgh v Dallas (Dallas (Match Winner) 1.95)

My heart tells me we’re going to win, but the Steelers are a bit more likely.
We'll see what happens, so I want to see the team in the playoffs.

GO Cowboys! :star:

I wish good tips to all betmates! :

 

[we will rock you]

washington to win the division ,chiefs to win superbowl also packers to win superbowl for futures

 

[ribbybruno]

The Hall of Fame interviews were more exciting than the game.

 

[ADRI7HO]

Unfortunately, paper form is the end result.

 

[ChickenArise]

Preseason week one provides some opportunity in totals with teams that are likely just trying to gauge new talent and are not concerned with winning the match.

I composed a parlay which I like and also took each selection straight.

My best bets:

Accumulator (4)

• Under 35.0 @ -118
  
  Total Points (Incl. OT)
  New England Patriots - Washington Football Team 12 Aug, 18:30 COT
• Under 34.5 @ -118
  
  Total Points (Incl. OT)
  Chicago Bears - Miami Dolphins 14 Aug, 12:00 COT
• Under 36.0 @ -118
  
  Total Points (Incl. OT)
  Baltimore Ravens - New Orleans Saints 14 Aug, 18:00 COT
• Under 33.5 @ -118
  
  Total Points (Incl. OT)
  Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Cincinnati Bengals 14 Aug, 18:30 COT

1 Bet(s) x $15.00 @ +1071
Stake: $15.00 Returns: $175.70

 

[ADRI7HO]

For warming up!

My pick this week:
New England v Washington (Washington (Match Winner) 1.85)
Philadelphia v Pittsburgh (Pittsburgh (Match Winner) 1.88)
Tampa Bay v Cincinnati (Match winner Tampa Bay 1.31)
Arizona v Dallas (Arizona (Match winner) 1.70)
Las Vegas v Seattle (Las Vegas (Match Winner) 1.63)

Preseason, so anything can happen, but that’s what I chose.

 

[ChickenArise]

Preseason week one provides some opportunity in totals with teams that are likely just trying to gauge new talent and are not concerned with winning the match.

I composed a parlay which I like and also took each selection straight.

My best bets:

Accumulator (4)

• Under 35.0 @ -118
  
  Total Points (Incl. OT)
  New England Patriots - Washington Football Team 12 Aug, 18:30 COT
• Under 34.5 @ -118
  
  Total Points (Incl. OT)
  Chicago Bears - Miami Dolphins 14 Aug, 12:00 COT
• Under 36.0 @ -118
  
  Total Points (Incl. OT)
  Baltimore Ravens - New Orleans Saints 14 Aug, 18:00 COT
• Under 33.5 @ -118
  
  Total Points (Incl. OT)
  Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Cincinnati Bengals 14 Aug, 18:30 COT

1 Bet(s) x $15.00 @ +1071
Stake: $15.00 Returns: $175.70

It hit. One leg pushed at Stars so payout was reduced but I won with a more favorable line elsewhere. Pre season week one unders rock. We had 13 unders and 2 overs. Expecting totals to come down and looking for some overs with certain teams week 2.

Another strategy I will be using in week 2 is to go under pre flop in games I expect to start quietly and when the total drops dramatically, try to middle with a live over bet.

 

[ribbybruno]

It hit. One leg pushed at Stars so payout was reduced but I won with a more favorable line elsewhere. Pre season week one unders rock. We had 13 unders and 2 overs. Expecting totals to come down and looking for some overs with certain teams week 2.

Another strategy I will be using in week 2 is to go under pre flop in games I expect to start quietly and when the total drops dramatically, try to middle with a live over bet.

Well done! Your hard work is paying off! Keep it going!

 

[ChickenArise]

We had 13 unders week 1 pre
We had 8 unders week 2 pre

I generally stayed with games that I thought would go under and did well. Mainly because Bet Cris had higher totals than other books. I did take HOU/DAL 1st half over and cashed. Hit some more parlays too.

I missed on NYJ/GB un 36 but I got the best of the number early as this dropped to 31 by kick. After the first score I pressed under the new higher live total hard and that panned.

As we enter the final week of preseason, week 3, pay attention to who will start and how long they will play. Some teams dont care about winning in pre and week 3 will be no different. Totals will be low. Look for solid first half over matchups as you just dont know what the second half will bring.

It used to be Philly would play no starters in the final pre season game and were a bet against in the final game for the last few years, but they have a new coach which often brings a new philosophy.

https://twitter.com/AdamSchefter
is valuable as he often relays what the coaches intentions are. You will get useful info by checking his Twitter Feed before you bet.

Regarding NFC East futures, keep in mind the NFC east is scheduled to play each other the last 5 weeks of the season this year. You will likely get a better picture and better odds just prior to this.

 

[we will rock you]

ravens to win in the preseaon has been easy
money

 

[Risto234]

Watched odds in Week 1 ... Although some over lines were quite close for being (too) low (even) for my standards then i decided to go with some team totals instead :dontknow:

Lions vs 49ers: Lions over 17.50 @1.90
Rams vs Bears: Bears over 17.50 @1.90

 

[we will rock you]

49ers -7 vs lions is my lock for week 1

 

[ADRI7HO]

Then I'll start guessing the season:

Atlanta v Philadelphia (Philadelphia (Match Winner) 2.38)

Buffalo - Pittsburgh (Less than 46.5 (Score 46.5) 2.10)

Carolina v NY Jets (NY Jets (Match Winner) 2.78)

Detroit v San Francisco (San Francisco (Match Winner) 1.26)

Houston v Jacksonville (Jacksonville (Match Winner) 1.64)

There are surprise results in it, unexpected tips, but the season is starting, now I’m still bold.

 

[jordanbillie]

I already have a sizeable bet on the Buffalo Bills to win the Super Bowl at +1200.



Let's Go Buffalo!

 

[magister1]

Anyone else liking Jacksonville -145 vs Texans?

That and the Giants/Broncos U41.5 I think will be my Week 1 plays.

Though I always go small in Week 1.

 

[we will rock you]

bucs -7

 

[roger perkins]

The Cowboys and Dak will be crushed by the Tampa Bay D Line. Take TB and give the points -8. I Predict TB by 13+.

 

[magister1]

The Cowboys and Dak will be crushed by the Tampa Bay D Line. Take TB and give the points -8. I Predict TB by 13+.

Idk... if the line creeps up to -9 I might go for Cowboys. It will be an exciting game for sure and a lot rests on Dak.

 

[jordanbillie]

The Cowboys and Dak will be crushed by the Tampa Bay D Line. Take TB and give the points -8. I Predict TB by 13+.

Idk... if the line creeps up to -9 I might go for Cowboys. It will be an exciting game for sure and a lot rests on Dak.

Chico has the line at 9.5 now.

I'm taking the Cowboys +9.5 with my first pick of the season.

And Dak Prescott over 294.5 Passing Yards @ +125 is my 2nd bet of the season.

FYI: FiveThrityEight has a great NFL page as a betting resource

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2021-nfl-predictions/games/

 

[ribbybruno]

I am going to take Tampa Bay -8.5 tonight in the Opener.

Bucs 4-0 ATS in their last 4 Home games
Bucs 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games.
Cowboys 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games on grass.
Cowboys 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games in September

 

[magister1]

I am going to take Tampa Bay -8.5 tonight in the Opener.

Bucs 4-0 ATS in their last 4 Home games
Bucs 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games.
Cowboys 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games on grass.
Cowboys 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games in September

I definitely like TB to win by a touchdown, -7 or -7.5 I'd take but near 9 I'm tempted. I don't know if its a trap either.

I look at some historical stats too but idk how relevant they are on new season opener. I believe defending super bowl team is 14-2 ATS too or that could be moneyline.

Lots of unknown this game but goodluck!

 

[we will rock you]

dak over 1.5 tds passing tonight

 

[ribbybruno]

What a game! Nice way to start the season for both teams in my opinion.

 

[jordanbillie]

What a game! Nice way to start the season for both teams in my opinion.

Great game, and a great way for me to start the (betting) season!