$5 NLHE 6-max: Can I fold a full house on the river?

What do you guys think?

PokerStars - $0.05 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

CO: 100 BB (VPIP: 22.50, PFR: 11.25, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, hands: 83)
Hero (BTN): 100 BB
SB: 101.6 BB (VPIP: 28.57, PFR: 28.57, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 7)
BB: 128.4 BB (VPIP: 20.88, PFR: 16.48, 3Bet Preflop: 9.09, Hands: 93)
UTG: 133.4 BB (VPIP: 23.68, PFR: 18.42, 3Bet Preflop: 9.68, Hands: 77)
MP: 62.6 BB (VPIP: 32.43, PFR: 16.22, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 38)

SB posts SB 0.4 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.4 BB) Hero has J:diamond: J:spade:

fold, MP raises to 3 BB, fold, Hero raises to 8 BB, SB calls 7.6 BB, fold, fold

Flop: (20 BB, 2 players) J:club: K:diamond: K:club:
SB checks, Hero bets 11 BB, SB calls 11 BB

Turn: (42 BB, 2 players) 8:heart:
SB checks, Hero bets 33 BB, SB calls 33 BB

River: (108 BB, 2 players) 8:spade:
SB bets 49.6 BB and is all-in, Hero ????




Can I fold this? I was trying to range villain for a hand that does this that isn't Kx, there shouldn't be any 8x hands in villains pre flop flatting range, and the only draw is a club draw that I think most villains shouldn't be drawing to on a paired board, and then does villain shove it when any K would beat them?

If villain is bluff catching me with say 99 then don't they check call the river?

You are getting a very good price. You only have to be right about 25% but I dont think you are good that often. I think it's a fold.

You'd better fold here.

youregoodmate said:

You are getting a very good price. You only have to be right about 25% but I dont think you are good that often. I think it's a fold.

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you can't fold, see the price, call and nh

Pavelito51 said:

you can't fold, see the price, call and nh

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I believe we can fold, I don't think it is against the rules.

What hand do you suspect we beat?

Yeah think folding here is pretty easy decision here after the unfortunate way the board ran out and villain shipping on the river. Simply not a good spot to bluff catch.

Pavelito51 said:

you can't fold, see the price, call and nh

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Call for what? You think that the villain will have Ax or QQ here?

I do not like the preflop 3-bet size and the flop betsize. A little more preflop and 75% on the flop and shove turn and he will call with ~8% equity.

What are we beating here? AT , AJ, AQ and QQ probably. It's reasonable for him to have those yes

What are we repping here? Kx, 99+ , AT+ , QTs

If he thinks you are bluffing here he's rather going to check/call than donkshove the river. This is to get value.