Card Dead - Variance ? how long can it last ?

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watchtowel

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  • #26
Exit141RTe1 said:
I wish I was that card dead. I learned a long time ago, you can't win every hand. I still think I can, too funny.
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I think like this too lol. When I have king high I still think I am ahead of those dnks who are 3bet bluffing me on the river :D
 
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johnnytt

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  • #27
I have broken even for 50,000+ hands before.
 
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watchtowel

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  • #28
Can that really be variance? How can people be unlucky for 50,000 hands?
 
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Aldito

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  • #29
watchtowel said:
Can that really be variance? How can people be unlucky for 50,000 hands?
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50,000 is still a pretty small sample. Play with this, and you'll get some sort of idea how big a part of poker variance is. You can easily run good/bad for a 100k hand stretch.
 
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watchtowel

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  • #30
When can a sample size actually tell give you an accurate picture of how good you are?
 
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Aldito

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  • #31
watchtowel said:
When can a sample size actually tell give you an accurate picture of how good you are?
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Depends how big your edge is. These two pics show a 2bb/100 winner and a 20bb/100 winner over 100k hands
 
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