What are the odds of facing AA while holding KK?

ManiacMalik · Nov 14, 2025

For me it seems like 80% of the time I am allin before flop while holding KK. Anyone has the similar story?

watup · Nov 14, 2025

220 to 1

monkeytilter · Nov 14, 2025

watup said:
220 to 1

This number is roughly right for how often WE are dealt AA but you need to remember we are thinking about villain's holding now and we have removed 2 cards from the deck of 52, so AA will be dealt to them roughly 1 time in 204. [C(4,2) / C(50,2) = 6/1225= 204]

*By us holding us holding KK we have to remove a lot of combinations of hands that contain a King from villain's possible holdings, this makes AA slightly more likely for them as the number of possible hands for them has been reduced.

As a rough guide to how often 2 or more villains have AA you can divide the 204 by the number of opponents (this is not totally precise but close enough)..

Heads up they will have AA vs you KK 1 time in 204, about 0.5%.

In a 6 max game 1 time in 41 (204/5), about 2.5% - roughly similar odds to hitting a single number at roulette

..and 9 handed, 1 time in 26, about 4% - similar odds to hitting a 1 outer from flop to river at hold'em

cmarttins · Nov 14, 2025

I'm trying to learn poker and when I see content like this it makes me rethink several times hahaha it's a lot of “calculation” you're crazy

rdwr33 · Nov 14, 2025

I usually go all in when I get this pair, KK. Answering your question, the chance of that happening is 1 in 479,500 or 0.00021% in Texas Hold'em.

KeyPatience · Nov 14, 2025

Very highly when I’m having Kings! 🤣

dompoker · Nov 14, 2025

For me to jump to the llin, if another K comes, it would be lucky if you believe, I'm no longer so sure about luck, but maybe.

dannystanks · Nov 14, 2025

Not enough to worry about. If I do get it all in pre and loose to AA so be it, just the way it goes.

fundiver199 · Nov 15, 2025

As others have said, the chance of running KK (or any other hand not containing an A) into AA, is around 2,5% at 6-max and 4,0% at 9-max. However if we continue raising and reraising preflop, until we are all-in, then people will fold weaker holdings, and the risk, we get it in against AA, will be higher than those numbers. If we are very deep like 300BB, then perhaps at some point we should stop reraising to avoid a situation, where the opponent gives us action with AA and fold everything else.

LiviuRo123 · Nov 15, 2025

The odds of running into AA when you have KK are about 1 in 24 times you get KK. More precisely, there's around a 4.3% chance an opponent holds AA when you pick up kings at a full table. Not fun... but it happens.

Sos1l · Nov 16, 2025

I've had it quite often in both all-in and 3-bet pots.

thedarkman · Nov 16, 2025

I had it last Sunday!

thedarkman · Nov 16, 2025

ManiacMalik said:
For me it seems like 80% of the time I am allin before flop while holding KK. Anyone has the similar story?

On a similar theme, I have a lot of these I will post in due course. This was played July 23, 2014.

thedarkman · Nov 16, 2025

ManiacMalik said:
For me it seems like 80% of the time I am allin before flop while holding KK. Anyone has the similar story?

This was from the freeroll tonight!

monkeytilter · Nov 16, 2025

thedarkman said:
This was from the freeroll tonight!

I must be growing up, couldn't even remember exiting like that

Now I recall I did think about this thread for a second.

Rmi · Nov 16, 2025

There are very few of them, but it can still happen and you should not take it the wrong way.

Ruinkind · Nov 17, 2025

I wouldn't jam KK unless you're short. A 4 bet is nice for info, over shove is USUALLY AK/AQ/KQ, pocket, in my experience, so a good race for you.

People love to call suited aces and ruin your day, keep that in mind.

Sometimes you gotta eat the boot and fold to that to the A on the flop, if yer feeling spicy with a nice stack and they bet weak, play some poker to feel them out, maybe you'll ding a 2 outer if your dominated.

dreamer13 · Nov 17, 2025

The chance that someone will have AA when you have KK at an 8-handed table is almost 4 percent.Every hand in poker is part of a continuous, never-ending statistical test.Calculating any given poker situation will yield ridiculous odds of its occurrence. However, if you calculate the probability of that situation occurring over, say, 10 million hands, most of these probabilities begin to approach 1.

flabilim · Nov 17, 2025

P The probability is small, however, there are some people who are attracted to each other, so when KK gets together, someone else gets AA.

eberetta1 · Nov 17, 2025

My problem is they pick up the Ace in the turn or flop if they have Ace rag in their hand while I am holding KK.

monkeytilter · Nov 17, 2025

It's becoming a bloody daily occurrence, nice when I bang a set on the turn though in a game I care about

thedarkman · Nov 18, 2025

ManiacMalik said:
For me it seems like 80% of the time I am allin before flop while holding KK. Anyone has the similar story?

This isn't kings but we were all-in pre-flop. This was a game played December 7, 2013. Sadly, I didn't cash.

anasslaaleg · Nov 18, 2025

Every poker player knows the feeling: you pick up pocket kings, your heart jumps, you raise with confidence… and then someone 3-bets you. Suddenly that little voice in your head whispers: “What if he has aces?”
The good news?
It’s rare.
The bad news?
When it happens, it feels like the universe is targeting you personally.
Let’s break it down simply:
There is only one hand in the entire deck that beats KK preflop: AA.
The chance that one specific opponent is dealt AA when you have KK is about 0.49% less than 1%
(roughly 1 in 204 situations).
But tournaments and cash games often have multiple opponents.
So the more players still in the hand, the higher the odds one of them wakes up with aces:
Against 6 opponents: roughly 1 in 34 chance.
Against 9 opponents: roughly 1 in 25 chance.
So yes, it’s rare but not impossible. That’s why sometimes it feels like you run into AA more often than you should. Emotion magnifies the pain.
The key lesson?
Stick to the math, not the fear.
Kings are a monster. You should play them strong almost every time. If you occasionally crash into aces, that’s just part of the game not a mistake.
Pocket kings lose to aces sometimes,
but patient, disciplined players still win in the long run.

monkeytilter · Nov 23, 2025

This one hurt today, 3 hours into $109 (25bb all in pre)..

Lux12 · Nov 25, 2025

Classic cooler spot. The math says if you’re holding KK, the chance that another player has AA depends on how many players are dealt in. Heads-up it’s impossible, but at a full 9-handed table the odds of running KK into AA are about 1 in 24,000 hands. Put another way, if you’re dealt KK, the chance someone else has AA at the same time is roughly 0.5% in a full ring game. So it’s rare, but it feels like it happens way more often because those hands are so memorable.

What are the odds of facing AA while holding KK?

ManiacMalik

Rising Star

watup

Rock Star

monkeytilter

Legend

cmarttins

Rising Star

rdwr33

Legend

KeyPatience

Rock Star

dompoker

Legend

dannystanks

Legend

fundiver199

Legend

LiviuRo123

Rock Star

Sos1l

Rock Star

thedarkman

Legend

thedarkman

Legend

Attachments

thedarkman

Legend

Attachments

monkeytilter

Legend

Rmi

Visionary

Ruinkind

Enthusiast

dreamer13

Legend

flabilim

Rock Star

eberetta1

Legend

monkeytilter

Legend

thedarkman

Legend

Attachments

anasslaaleg

Rock Star

monkeytilter

Legend

Lux12

Rock Star

About CardsChat

Our Community

Our Site