$33 NL HE MTT: 95S

Geo90 said:

888Poker, Hold'em No Limit - 300/600 (70 ante) - 8 players
Replay this hand on CardsChat - https://www.cardschat.com/replayer?hand=2a1bcOrU

abarone68 (UTG): 19,860 (33 bb)
PeakyCollins (UTG+1): 30,205 (50 bb)
ReginaCaze (MP): 19,290 (32 bb)
zimablue. (MP+1): 29,635 (49 bb)
Paciraro (CO): 18,088 (30 bb)
alta52 (BU): 71,515 (119 bb)
LODDENThinks (SB): 37,447 (62 bb)
Gyurika90 (BB): 49,294 (82 bb)

Pre-Flop: (1,460) Hero (Gyurika90) is BB with 9♠ 5♠
abarone68 (UTG) raises to 1,200, 4 players fold, alta52 (BU) calls 1,200, 1 fold, Gyurika90 (BB) calls 600

Flop: (4,460) T♠ 8♠ 6♥ (3 players)
Gyurika90 (BB) checks, abarone68 (UTG) bets 1,471, alta52 (BU) folds, Gyurika90 (BB) calls 1,471

Turn: (7,402) 5♥ (2 players)
Gyurika90 (BB) checks, abarone68 (UTG) checks

River: (7,402) K♠ (2 players)
Gyurika90 (BB) bets 4,885, abarone68 (UTG) raises to 17,119 (all-in), Gyurika90 (BB) calls 12,234



PF: I think defending is standard.

F: I got a pretty good flop; I think a 3-bet would have been too aggressive here, so I just called.

T: I also picked up a pair; would it have been worth raising here?

R: My flush came, would it have been better to check here? Let him bluff—he might have a lot of missed straights like Q9, J9, JQ, and he could also have a lot of Kx hands he could raise with. My 9 can block a lot of bluffs from these ranges, but I couldn’t fold on the river; checking might have been the better play.
He’ll have a lot of Ax flushes too. How would you have played it?

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eetenor said:

Watching replay 1 step at a time

Preflop

We want to build a strategy framework that we can apply to multiple hands so that we do not have to think what do I do with 95s now when we see it. Instead we know it is part of a group of hands that we play the same way.

1 How strong of a hand is 95s? HU? 3 way? Can we realize all of its equity? How well does it play vs UTG range?
Will the 9 be dominated when we make a pair? Is it a big pot hand? Is it a good bluff hand? When we bluff does it block UTG folds?

When we take the time to think about the strength of a hand before we even play- we will be able to design strategies to play it in game most effectively.

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fundiver199 said:

Preflop
Standard defend.

Flop
You have a 12-out draw with no showdown value, so I prefer to take the aggressive route here and check-raise, especially when he only bet 1/3 pot. If you get a hand like AK to fold, thats a great outcome, and if he 3-bet, you can just get it in and hope to run good.

Turn
As played definitely a check-call, and you are happy to get a free card.

River
I agree with betting for value, since he can easily have a hand like AK or KQ, that will call a bet but not bet for value if checked to. When he raise, its not great. He can definitely have a better flush, but he could also be bluffing with the naked ace of spades or perhaps overplaying KK etc, and you are getting better than 2:1. So no you cant fold, even though I would expect to be beat at least half the time against an unknown opponent.

Getting overflushed on a 3-flush board is always annoying, when it happen, but its actually pretty rare. So just chuck it up to a cooler and move on to the next hand. At least if its heads-up and not insanely deep like in this hand. If its multiway, and there is like a bet, a raise and then a cold 3-bet, ok maybe now you let go of a low flush. But not for 33 BB against a single opponent.

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monkeytilter said:

Key here is "realising equity"
Love all the "this is an auto call pre" in the thread, yes GTO indicates it's a defend but GTO will play it perfectly post flop (with bluffs most wouldn't even dream of) and even then probably only eke out less than 0.5bb profit from the spot - look at the pickle you got into hitting one of the best hands you can make!

On the river, this is an under-bluffed spot IMHO.
Villain is risking his tourney life for a pot he has not invested that much in and you have bet into on the river.

We need villain to be bluffing about 1/3 of the time on the river given the price we are getting - I'd want a read on villain to be making this call (is he capable of big bluffs or making polarisation errors etc.)

I like your river bet (population tend to check back too much) if you have the discipline to bet-fold to the shove.

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Poker Orifice said:

Villain is definitely capable of big bluffs. It's Aaron 'fk_n' Barone ... LFG!!!

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monkeytilter said:

" I'd want a read on villain.."

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