Bozovicdj said:
When you look at his stats, you can see that he sees 28% of the flops while on SB or BB, meaning he plays almost every 3rd hand out of position which is kinda a lot.
What is the math behind this number?
(10,733 BB hands +10,837 SB hands) / 78956 total hands = 27% of all the hands he is
dealt are in the SB or BB. He has no control over this, of course, except to avoid short-handed tables.
But I am not sure how to calculate what percentage of the
flops that he sees are from the blinds.
I don't see how it can be calculated from the information we have, keeping in mind that:
- checking from the BB leads to seeing a flop, but does not add to VPIP.
- completing from the SB does not always lead to seeing a flop, but adds to VPIP.
- raising from the blinds counts towards VPIP, but does not always lead to seeing a flop.
Bozovicdj said:
Actually, the math behind this was already done, and it says that 44.2% of the hands should raise from the SB in SB vs BB situations, where 84s is almost at the very bottom of it. However, unless a player is familiar with playing out of position, that range should be narrowed.
Where does the 44.2% number come from? Is it Nash? Wouldn't the actual ideal number be highly dependent on player behavior at the stakes he plays, and on ICM considerations in tournaments?