Poker Stars, $0.10/$0.25 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 7 Players
SB: $25 (100 bb)
Hero (BB): $25 (100 bb)
MP1: $20.78 (83.1 bb) 59/10/40 in 58 hands fish
MP2: $85.41 (341.6 bb)
MP3: $25 (100 bb)
CO: $14.49 (58 bb) 14/7/30 in 43 hands
BTN: $25 (100 bb)
Preflop: Hero is BB with 59![]()
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MP1 calls $0.25, 2 folds, CO calls $0.25, 2 folds, Hero checks
Flop: ($0.85) 66
8
(3 players)![]()
Hero checks, MP1 checks, CO bets $0.40, Hero calls $0.40, MP1 calls $0.40
                    
                    
                    Just not believing... afterthe event this looks really poor, I'm not beating anything.
Pacific, $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 8 Players
SB: $10.26 (102.6 bb)
Hero (BB): $16.27 (162.7 bb)
UTG+2: $10.89 (108.9 bb)
MP1: $10 (100 bb)
MP2: $11.29 (112.9 bb) 26/8/23 in 238 hands
MP3: $7.07 (70.7 bb)
CO: $12.31 (123.1 bb)
BTN: $26.25 (262.5 bb)
Preflop: Hero is BB with TT![]()
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2 folds, MP2 raises to $0.30, 4 folds, Hero calls $0.20
Flop: ($0.65) K9
2
(2 players)![]()
Hero checks, MP2 bets $0.48, Hero calls $0.48
Turn: ($1.61) 7(2 players)![]()
Hero bets $0.80, MP2 calls $0.80
River: ($3.21) 9(2 players)![]()
Hero checks, MP2 bets $1.60, Hero calls $1.60
Results: $6.41 pot ($0.32 rake)
Final Board: K9
2
7
9![]()
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Hero showed TT
and lost (-$3.18 net)![]()
MP2 showed JK
and won $6.09 ($2.91 net)![]()
                    
                    
                    villain 29/24 over 17 hands so he's showing signs of perhaps being a bit loose but not a complete whale so i don't expect many 2s in his range besides 22 and it's hard to put someone on quads. and QQ i expect him to reraise pre. TT is the only hand that really makes sense (besides quads) but there really aren't that many combos. i only need to be right just over 20% so in the end i decided he could be raising with a hand like QT figuring his two pair is good, or just some random missed draw like KJ/AJ he floated the flop and picked up a draw on the turn. Did i make the right decision to call here given the odds, or should i just respect the strength of his river raise?
                    
                    
                    
                    
                    
                    
                    
                    
                    
                    
                    
                    
                    
                    
                    
                    Backing into a set is possible
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                    Thanks John, i'm glad you confirmed my read was correct since i was a little unsure. What made it tough for me to make this call was that there's all that hype about baluga theorem and how at micros you "must fold one pair hands to turn and river raises". But obviously there must be exceptions and i guess this was one of them?
He actually showed up with KK which i didn't put him on although tbh it doesn't surprise me too much since i've seen a lot of fish slowplay their monsters![]()
                    
                    
                    Yeah, and notice the range I put in there. I discounted QQ+, but it's still in there because opponents aren't always 3-betting those hands. So you can't just remove them.
As far as the "Baluga Theorm", the games are much more aggressive then when Baluga could win several years ago. That doesn't mean that you shouldn't be cautious with one pair hands, but you have to consider, which you rightly did, maybe this guy is shoving for what he thinks is value. Which is what ended up happening, but you had a better hand.![]()
                    
                    
                    yea i'm starting to think baluga theorem's going slightly out of date, although it can be useful sometimes. so AA is ahead of his value shoving range but what if you changed my hand to AQ, would i then be behind?
with the equity calculator, how do you find hands that aren't in any of the leaks? like you clicked on the hands tab in the triple barrel bluffing leak but i can't find a hands tab for my AA hand since that hand wasn't in any leak.
also how did you get the percentages you showed me? i plugged that range into flopzilla and got 65% for us
                    
                    
                    
                    
                    
                    
                    
                    
                    
                    
                    
                    
                    
                    
                    
                    
                    
                    
                    
                    
                    
                    
                    
                    
                    
                    
                    
                    
                    
                    
                    
                    
                    
                    
                    Bet sizing on the turn?
Lost the reg but hooked the fish.
Poker Stars, $0.10/$0.25 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 9 Players
SB: $25 (100 bb)
BB: $36.89 (147.6 bb)
UTG+1: $25 (100 bb)
UTG+2: $28.42 (113.7 bb) 17/13/38% agg in 558 (marked as a decent reg)
MP1: $27.15 (108.6 bb)
MP2: $17.72 (70.9 bb) 57/11/27 in 47 hands, fish
MP3: $31.01 (124 bb)
Hero (CO): $38.25 (153 bb)
BTN: $25 (100 bb)
Preflop: Hero is CO with KJ![]()
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UTG+1 folds, UTG+2 raises to $0.75, MP1 folds, MP2 calls $0.75, MP3 folds, Hero calls $0.75, 3 folds
A little loose but calling as the fish is in the hand, would have folded to just the reg opening.
Flop: ($2.60) Q5
9
(3 players)![]()
UTG+2 bets $1.75, MP2 calls $1.75, Hero calls $1.75
Turn: ($7.85) A(3 players)![]()
UTG+2 bets $3.50, MP2 calls $3.50, Hero raises to $10.75, UTG+2 folds, MP2 calls $7.25
River: ($32.85) A(2 players)![]()
MP2 checks, Hero bets $4.75, MP2 calls $4.47 and is all-in
Results: $41.79 pot ($1.88 rake)
Final Board: Q5
9
A
A![]()
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MP2 mucked KQ
and lost (-$17.72 net)![]()
Hero showed KJ
and won $39.91 ($22.19 net)![]()
                    
                    
                    Thanks John, i'm glad you confirmed my read was correct since i was a little unsure. What made it tough for me to make this call was that there's all that hype about baluga theorem and how at micros you "must fold one pair hands to turn and river raises". But obviously there must be exceptions and i guess this was one of them?
He actually showed up with KK which i didn't put him on although tbh it doesn't surprise me too much since i've seen a lot of fish slowplay their monsters![]()
On a side note, fixed that bug in the equity calculator. Really strange that it came up at all. But this would have been your equity:
Ace Poker Drills Poker Equity Calculator
Board: 2d 2c Qh Ts 8c
Equity Win Tie Hand Range
56.29% 55.1429% 1.1429% [Ah As]
43.71% 42.5714% 1.1429% [QQ+(40), QTs(100), TT(100), 22(100), QTo(75), 88(75),]
                    
                    
                    awesome![]()