NFL Betting Thread 2022/2023 Season

[ribbybruno]

Welcome to the NFL 2022/2023 Betting Thread!



Post your wagers in this thread. Who has the winning edge picking Pro Football?
Share hot tips or data so we all can win! Best picker with best percentage who participates in this thread will receive a prize($$) from me! Good luck all!

 

[ribbybruno]

Ribby stats - Last 5 years of running this thread -


2017/2018 NFL Season (32-27-4)

2018/2019 NFL Season (37-32-1)

2019/2020 NFL Season (61-71-2) Super Bowl (0-7) sent me 10 games under for year

2020/2021 NFL Season (81-66-4)

2021/2022 NFL Season (104-72)


Let's have some fun!

 

[PokerSki]

For Week 1 of the NFL I think the following teams will win.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Tennessee Titans
Los Angeles Chargers
Kansas City Chiefs
Indianapolis Colts
Cincinnati Bengals
Carolina Panthers
San Francisco 49ers
New Orleans Saints
Baltimore Ravens
Buffalo Bills

 

[ChickenArise]

Preseason NFL Week 2

Vikings -225 money line (vs. SF)
un 39 NYG/CIN
ov 40.5 LVR/MIA

 

[S3mper]

Best picker with best percentage who participates in this thread will receive a prize($$) from me! Good luck all!

Going to pick one and if I win stop for that 100% win percentage.

Steelers +125

Reason: I'm biased and I don't see how taking anything over even money in a preseason game where the regular season first string QB(s) will be playing a decent chunk of the game could be -EV

 

[S3mper]

Going to pick one and if I win stop for that 100% win percentage.

Steelers +125

Reason: I'm biased and I don't see how taking anything over even money in a preseason game where the regular season first string QB(s) will be playing a decent chunk of the game could be -EV

Phew that was close.

I'd have to say the difference was that while Jax 3rd string QB was throwing interceptions the Steelers 3rd string QB with double digit starts in the NFL was leading a TD drive.

 

[ChickenArise]

Week 1

Raiders appeared to have some serious depth in preseason. Chargers beefed up heavily with acquisitions in the off season, but will they become the dominating force they hope and be able to come out of the gate strong?

This is a long standing rivalry with teams running close games so Im taking the plus 4 with the Raiders and sprinkling the ml as well. The Chargers have not been a great team as favorites ATS. Pick LVR+4 -110 available at BetCris.

If you can get the +4 this is a plus EV bet.

The other games I am on have already gone through severe line moves where the value has been diminished so I wont be posting them here.

 

[Risto234]

So lets start this weekend with 2 bets ...

Panthers vs Browns
Bears vs 49ers

Both games have over 41.5 points @1.90

 

[ADRI7HO]

I would like to continue...

NFL Week 1:
Miami - New England (Miami (Winner of the match) 1.58)
NY Jets - Baltimore (Under 45.5 (Score 45.5) 1.77)

 

[ChickenArise]

My exotics are just ideas you can use but they dont count toward picks. Only Straight bets versus the spread count all season.


ACCUMULATOR (6)

• San Francisco 49ers @ -350​

  
  San Francisco 49ers @ Chicago Bears
  
  

• Cincinnati Bengals @ -300​

  
  Pittsburgh Steelers @ Cincinnati Bengals
  
  

• Philadelphia Eagles @ -225​

  
  Philadelphia Eagles @ Detroit Lions
  
  

• Baltimore Ravens @ -350​

  
  Baltimore Ravens @ New York Jets
  
  

• Kansas City Chiefs @ -275​

  
  Kansas City Chiefs @ Arizona Cardinals
  
  

• Denver Broncos @ -300​

  
  Denver Broncos @ Seattle Seahawks
  
  1 Bet(s) @ +479 odds

If all legs come in on Sunday. There's the shot at the taking a Monday Night Seattle +7 (fingers crossed) hedge that can MIDDLE win as well.


Reaffirming Official Straight Bet(s) :

Im on LVR +4 (available @ BetCris)

and several other games that I got a sharp early lines on making them irrelevant as they are no longer available and the steam has evaporated any value.

Psyched for Week One. Buena Suerte All.

 

[ribbybruno]

Hello again NFL fans and wagerers! Good luck on your games all season!

I am going to start with tonight's game -

LA Rams +2.5 @ Home vs Buffalo - Rams are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 1

LA Rams/Buffalo OVER 52 - OVER is 4-1 ATS in Bills last 5 road games - OVER 5-0 in Rams last 5 games in September

1 Unit each - $100 a bet

 

[jordanbillie]

I have Isaiah Mckenzie o3.5 receptions (+120 odds!)

Also, if the LAR score 1+ pts, I win $100.

Chico offered the bet prior to the SB, that the SB winner would score 1pt in the following season's wk 1 game.

Gotta love those GTD to win gems that pop up every now and then.

Good luck everyone and GO BILLS!

 

[ADRI7HO]

The beginning of the opening game was close, but then the Bills turned it on and deservedly won yesterday, I am looking forward to Sunday's games, especially the Sunday Night game.

 

[jordanbillie]

I have Isaiah Mckenzie o3.5 receptions (+120 odds!)

Also, if the LAR score 1+ pts, I win $100.

Chico offered the bet prior to the SB, that the SB winner would score 1pt in the following season's wk 1 game.

Gotta love those GTD to win gems that pop up every now and then.

Good luck everyone and GO BILLS!

Dang, I consider myself lucky to have bagged the $100 (the Rams were LUCKY to get 10pts!).

Oh well on that whiff on McKenzie, still was up $75 in total.

Consider me 0 - 1 to start the year.

 

[Yanko57]

1.70 Parlay

Picks (0ver 1.50):

Cle > Car
Mia > NE
Jax > Wsh
LAC > LV
GB > Min
DAL > TB

 

[ribbybruno]

Here are some more picks for Ribby after a 0-2 start -

New Orleans -5.5 @ Atlanta - Road team is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings

Detroit +5.5 @ Home vs Philadelphia - Lions are 4-0 ATS last 4 games at Home

Carolina E @ Home vs Cleveland - Home team has won the game in 4 straight games

LV Raiders +3.5 @ LA Chargers - Raiders are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games in Los Angeles

Dallas +2.5 @ Home vs Tampa Bay - Cowboys are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games as a home team underdog

Good luck all!

 

[ChickenArise]

Taking MIN ml -117. I got a way better price earlier but for thread purposes. Its official. If I must lay the points so be it. I forget how that works.

Go Big Blue too. Was on it early at +6.5 but the line moved too much to play it here. Gonna predict NYG win 22 -20 after a missed FG by Tenn with time expiring, just for sh*ts and giggles.

 

[ChickenArise]

Oh and I dunno if I mentioned it here but I am on BAL DEFENSE Anytime TD the moment I heard Flacco is starting for the Jets. Didnt post a pick in the NCAAF picks after abysmal week one, but I got some of that Georgia Southern money line last night $$$.

 

[natsgrampy]

I put these up in The Parley Club Thread

Here's my Grandaughter's 5 team parlay for today. Stake $5.00 to win $116.60
Bengals ....... -6.5 -110
Eagles........... -5 -115
49ers............ -6.5 -115
Broncos...... -6.5 -115
Colts............ -7 -115
Wish Daniella luck, she needs a new iphone. So she says.

Here's my SGP for NYG vs Titans
$5.00 to win $330

DERRICK HENRY
Anytime Touchdown Scorer
Passing TDs are not included

MATT BREIDA
Anytime Touchdown Scorer
Passing TDs are not included

OVER 20.5
NY Giants Total Points

OVER 269.5
Daniel Jones Passing Yards

 

[ChickenArise]

Listened to all kinds of sharps talk up how Jacksonville was the play this week. Then heard all kinds of parrots jump aboard this train. You think they'd have learned their lesson by now, but they cant wait to take the unproven, JAGS.

 

[ChickenArise]

Gonna predict NYG win 22 -20 after a missed FG by Tenn with time expiring, just for sh*ts and giggles.

How about some love for this call?

 

[ChickenArise]

I got a square mark taking TB - 2.5, so Im making DAL + 2.5 an official play.

 

[roger perkins]

ok took Raiders +3 1/2 lost that one took Buccaneers -2 1/2

 

[ChickenArise]

My, could it be any more obvious MNF was rigged to kill any and all DEN bets and teasers? Unless I like the dog, Im done with it for betting purposes.

Sorry for the for format. Every time I try to clean it up, something else unpredictable gets added. There are no clickable links.

Official Week 2 picks:

Detroit Lions -127. Listen to me carefully. Do not lay the 2.5 points with Detroit. Yes they probably cover, but this team is known for its one point victories, so dont tempt fate with this team.

NEW ORLEANS SAINTS +3 -117 ( and sprinkled+142 ml )​

Bucs have trouble with this team, expect a TB bounce.

MIAMI DOLPHINS +4-106 ( and sprinkled +160 ml )​

One of my larger bets. I got +4.5 at Bet Stars Open which lasted all of about 5 minutes. Its gone now.

LEANS:
I also have early action on MIN which is the MNF dog, but what's scary is PHL is currently drawing 65% of the money while the line is moving down (currently PHL -1.5), so I am concerned I am on the square side, but I locked in a +3

I have a teaser I like a lot, Im just hoping Steelers at home without Watt and Harris can cover the teased number.

4T TEASER FB 6PTS BK 5PTS​

NFL Miami Dolphins +10-108 (B+6)
NFL Pittsburgh Steelers +8½-124 (B+6)
NFL Cincinnati Bengals -1-108 (B+6)
NFL Minnesota Vikings +9-110 (B+6)

Stake:$25.00 Win:$87.50

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[ChickenArise]

(Tongue in cheek)
Ive seen poker random number generators with more integrity than Monday Night Football.