NFL Betting Thread

[A9ofHearts]

49ers moneyline +150
49ers will win sunday, I personally guarantee it! that's my STONE COLD lock

I hope not. I got a decent amount of money on Seattle this week. lol

 

[packernation85]

Lets go packers, super bowl champs 2015

 

[bubbasbestbabe]

Betting Patirots and the under, Seattle and the over. Think Brady will cream Manning.

 

[OzExorcist]

Finally pulled the trigger on Denver @ -4.5 because it was still being offered locally, Pinnacle has moved back to -5.5.

Mostly just looking forward to a good game though, will get to watch this one live as it finishes just before I go to work. Then will have to avoid spoilers all day so I can come home to watch the Seattle-San Fran tape

I'm having serious thoughts about SF +3.5, haven't jumped on it yet though. Doesn't seem to have been much line movement at all on the game, while Denver-NE has been going up and down a lot.

 

[thesoxwin]

San Fran +3.5 - Under 40
Patriots +5.5 - under 56

 

[OzExorcist]

Didn't end up going with the SF bet, and dodged a bullet in the process.

Now the big question: I can get Denver -1 locally at the moment when Pinnacle and others are at -2 / -2.5, is it too good to be true?

 

[jordanbillie]

I would hammer that bet. I'm thinking about $50 on Denver -3. I might chicken out and only do like $5, but I really feel like this line is way too low.

 

[A9ofHearts]

I would hammer that bet. I'm thinking about $50 on Denver -3. I might chicken out and only do like $5, but I really feel like this line is way too low.

You can get Denver-2 for -103 on Pinnacle right now. Probably a better deal than wherever you are getting -3

 

[HooDooKoo]

I would hammer that bet. I'm thinking about $50 on Denver -3. I might chicken out and only do like $5, but I really feel like this line is way too low.

You really think that this line is way too low? This game will be played outdoors on a neutral field in potentially poor conditions (wind and snow) --- all factors in Seattle's favor. I'm not saying that Seattle is the right side, but there's plenty of reason to question who the favorite should be in this game.

IMO, this game will come down to how it is officiated. If the officials let the Seattle DBs be really physical with the Denver WRs, then I like Seattle's chances. If, however, the officials call the game tight then Denver likely wins handily (fluky plays notwithstanding).

Best of luck whatever you decide.

-HooDooKoo

 

[jordanbillie]

You can get Denver-2 for -103 on Pinnacle right now. Probably a better deal than wherever you are getting -3

Bovada has the line at -3 (-105)

 

[jordanbillie]

You really think that this line is way too low? This game will be played outdoors on a neutral field in potentially poor conditions (wind and snow) --- all factors in Seattle's favor. I'm not saying that Seattle is the right side, but there's plenty of reason to question who the favorite should be in this game.

IMO, this game will come down to how it is officiated. If the officials let the Seattle DBs be really physical with the Denver WRs, then I like Seattle's chances. If, however, the officials call the game tight then Denver likely wins handily (fluky plays notwithstanding).

Best of luck whatever you decide.

-HooDooKoo

The weather and the officiating are very VERY good points. Honestly, these are probably going to be the exact reasons why I don't throw $50 on this game. I probably will end up placing enough on Denver, so if they win, my $5 SB square was free.

 

[HooDooKoo]

The weather and the officiating are very VERY good points. Honestly, these are probably going to be the exact reasons why I don't throw $50 on this game. I probably will end up placing enough on Denver, so if they win, my $5 SB square was free.

Best of luck whatever you decide, and enjoy the game.

-HooDooKoo

 

[jordanbillie]

I found a prop bet that looks to be really good odds on Bovada.

Demariyus Thomas to have more receptions than total goals scored in the DET vs WASH Feb 2nd game at -130. The normal O/E on that game should be set at 5 and D. Thomas averages 5.75 catches/game.

I know it's wacky, but I believe there is value in this prop.

 

[jordanbillie]

Not to mention that Washington has scored 1 or less goals in 6 of their last 7 games.

 

[okeedokalee]

Denver has kept me happy all season at Mile High 1n the rarefied air, but I think I will sit out the Superbowl bet wise.My heart will be with the Broncos though.

An unders bet on total points, I think will work, in the bad conditions expected.

 

[OzExorcist]

Ended up taking Denver -1.5... which they're still offering locally. Or Pinnacle has them at -2 right now if anyone's still looking for better than -3 on them.

 

[jordanbillie]

I'm deciding to pass. I'm going to sit back, have a beer or two, and just enjoy the game.

 

[Karozi615]

Does ANYONE here know any brick and mortar books where a NINETEEN year old could place a wager? Are there any in New York? I was under the impression that NY was 18+ for gambling but I have been able to find NO information. I can't even find info about sportsbooks in CANADA.

 

[Karozi615]

Also my 2 cents on the game is that Denver -3 is ENTIRELY different then Denver -2. This is the superbowl, Seattle has a killer defense. I think Denver wins but a lot of the time that point could be the difference between a win and a push. Think about how close superbowls generally are. Even if Seattle loses they will keep it close. So IMO Denver -1.5-2 is a hell of a lot better then Denver -3. WATCH that one point make a difference

 

[OzExorcist]

Just checking lines on some of the all-important props for the game:

- National anthem duration: 2m25s
- Times Eli Manning will be shown during broadcast: 1.5
- Number of times "12th man" will be referred to during live broadcast: 2
- Number of times Peyton Manning will say "Omaha": 27.5
- Any member of RHCP being shirtless during halftime: paying even money

 

[jordanbillie]

Don't forget the color of the Gatorade poured on the winning coach. I think clear/water is the favorite.

 

[OzExorcist]

It is, yeah. Followed by orange or yellow, IIRC.

We had a sweep running on the Gatorade colour at our Superbowl party last year... which the Ravens proceeded to ruin by not dumping ANYTHING on John Harbaugh. Here's hoping Denver or Seattle are a bit more traditional. Though with the weather likely to be bloody cold, maybe they'll think better of it too?

 

[sunburnt2k11]

You really think that this line is way too low? This game will be played outdoors on a neutral field in potentially poor conditions (wind and snow) --- all factors in Seattle's favor. I'm not saying that Seattle is the right side, but there's plenty of reason to question who the favorite should be in this game.

IMO, this game will come down to how it is officiated. If the officials let the Seattle DBs be really physical with the Denver WRs, then I like Seattle's chances. If, however, the officials call the game tight then Denver likely wins handily (fluky plays notwithstanding).

Best of luck whatever you decide.

-HooDooKoo

i think the under/over for this game is pretty much on spot of too high... i'm hoping that the weather will be a huge factor for this game and there won't be too many points made! it will be way too cold for them to play a proper game.

 

[jordanbillie]

Took my $10 CC freeroll win and parlayed Den and the under.

 

[OzExorcist]

So the Gatorade was orange... and THEN yellow, IIRC. Gotta be honest, with it being so cold I'd almost expected there'd be no Gatorade at all, but there you go.

Had a pretty poor day betting on the Superbowl. Had wins on:

- Anthem going under 2:25
- Seattle getting the most penalties

But had losses on:

- Denver -1.5
- Denver + 2.5 (live bet straight after the safety, paying better than $2 and didn't figure it for a sign of what was actually to come)
- Lynch longest rush over 18 yards (think he made 17 on one, then sat out the rest of the game)