Pocket kings into aces

sanekhorror

sanekhorror

Rock Star
Bronze Level
Joined
Dec 19, 2017
Total posts
205
Awards
3
Poker Chips
98
Casino Coins
0
  • #51
In the afternoon, I was often thrown such a KK setup in AA because of this, I did not reach the first place, although there were huge chances to win, I was so angry why when you play everything well, and then you have a bang and a setup, now I think I need to force myself to throw off the KK.
 
C

CalvinDay

Rising Star
Bronze Level
Joined
Apr 14, 2025
Total posts
1
US
Poker Chips
28
Casino Coins
0
  • #52
Taktik said:
This situation is rather rare, but often my kings flop a set

i ran into AA while i had KK in a little tournament and caught a K on river sometime later the exact same thing happened and i won the tournament... good luck that night
 
Matt_Burns88

Matt_Burns88

Legend
Platinum Level
Joined
Aug 24, 2018
Total posts
1,637
Awards
2
GB
Poker Chips
667
Casino Coins
0
  • #53
The chances vary depending on how many people are dealt into the hand:

One opponent - the odds are 0.49%
Nine opponents - the odds are 4.3%

Here's the working out to prove it:
There are 50 unknown cards left (you hold 2 kings), and your opponent needs both aces.
  • Number of combinations of 2 specific cards (like AA) in 50 cards:
1744642951682
So:
~0.49% chance a single opponent has AA when you have KK (in heads-up play)

Now let’s check the probability that at least one of multiple opponents has AA. This is where things get spicy.

We use the complement rule:
  • First calculate the probability that no one has AA
  • Then subtract from 1
For example, with 6 opponents:
  • Probability one opponent doesn’t have AA = 1 - 0.0049 = 0.9951
  • Probability none of the 6 opponents have AA = 0.9951^6 = 0.9709
  • So the chance at least one opponent has AA: = 1−0.9709=0.0291 or 2.91%
 
Last edited:
  • Love
Reactions: Andyreas
Iryna Stryzheuskaya

Iryna Stryzheuskaya

Legend
Bronze Level
Joined
Feb 13, 2016
Total posts
3,212
Awards
10
BY
Poker Chips
439
Casino Coins
0
  • #54
This happens from time to time. This is part of the poker and there is no need to worry about it.
 
NSX_Amfe2nat

NSX_Amfe2nat

Rock Star
Bronze Level
Joined
May 22, 2022
Total posts
396
Awards
1
UA
Poker Chips
525
Casino Coins
0
  • #55
Never fold KK, just a bad luck if opp has AA
 
alucaa

alucaa

Rock Star
Platinum Level
Joined
Apr 19, 2025
Total posts
275
BR
Poker Chips
301
Casino Coins
0
  • #56
It's not normal, at least if we talk about the chances of that happening, those three times you had very bad luck or they were very good
 
Pavelmiyah

Pavelmiyah

Rock Star
Bronze Level
Joined
May 8, 2021
Total posts
157
BD
Poker Chips
430
Casino Coins
0
  • #57
Kinngs is the best for me. Every time i win with ace's.
 
amonlima

amonlima

Visionary
Bronze Level
Joined
Feb 18, 2023
Total posts
745
Awards
1
BR
Poker Chips
645
Casino Coins
0
  • #58
This is a rare event to happen, you can be sure that it will take a while for you to repeat it...
 
B

bsdbrulll

Rising Star
Bronze Level
Joined
May 12, 2025
Total posts
1
IN
Poker Chips
28
Casino Coins
0
  • #59
Yes, running pocket kings (KK) into pocket aces (AA) can feel surprisingly common, especially when it happens multiple times in a short stretch — but statistically, it’s quite rare.

BSD Brawl Download
 
M

Margo17

Rock Star
Bronze Level
Joined
Aug 21, 2023
Total posts
290
BR
Poker Chips
419
Casino Coins
0
  • #60
Obviously it's not common, today I lost a QQ vs AJ, J came on the flop and J on the river, it was sad, and the worst comes next, I found a KK and thought "now I'm going for heads" I found AA, A came on the flop, and to piss me off, K came on the river. lol

Poker has many sad stories, like this one
 
A

aizenpaul51

Rising Star
Bronze Level
Joined
Aug 5, 2025
Total posts
1
IN
Poker Chips
28
Casino Coins
0
  • #61
Kings may have many aces as they play and from starting to the ending all setup may get disguised.BSD Brawl
 
dreamer13

dreamer13

Legend
Loyaler
Joined
Mar 18, 2022
Total posts
5,354
Awards
2
LV
Poker Chips
1,597
Casino Coins
15
  • #62
Pocket kings have one major disadvantage compared to aces - this is the possibility of the opponent to collect a pair higher than yours, in other words, already from the first streets the opponent may have a stronger poker combination.The probability of an ace appearing on the flop is about 20%, which is much more common than you might think.
 
_420_420_

_420_420_

Rock Star
Silver Level
Joined
Oct 8, 2016
Total posts
195
Awards
1
US
Poker Chips
126
Casino Coins
0
  • #63
I have seen it happen a lot around me personally, luckily I have been on the good side of it when it happened, actually it was AA v KK v QQ and I was lucky to be holding the bullets after QQ limped, button raised with KK and I 3 bet... then limper shoves, call call, 5 bricks and I'm happy
 
Rldetheflop

Rldetheflop

Head Ranger
Platinum Level
Joined
Jul 11, 2009
Total posts
2,290
Awards
3
US
Poker Chips
933
Casino Coins
0
  • #64
aMazing33 said:
I’ve just been knock out holding AA, MTT opponent had KK and flopped a set��. I was BB he raised 4x blinds so I pushed. AA is my least favorite hand.
No! You're probably just having selective memory. I know it stings the most busting out with aces but if you have tracking software I guarantee you it will be your most profitable hand.
 
Vallet

Vallet

Legend
Loyaler
Joined
Jun 5, 2019
Total posts
2,369
Awards
14
Poker Chips
626
Casino Coins
0
  • #65
The most annoying case is when the opponents have deep stacks. KK versus AA on the preflop. The flop is low and not dangerous. All or a significant part of the stack will disappear.
 
makisaa

makisaa

Legend
Loyaler
Joined
Oct 6, 2015
Total posts
3,445
Awards
10
GR
Poker Chips
878
Casino Coins
10
  • #66
Yes, it happens many times and it is weird, because it happens a lot something which is difficult to see it!
 
Mazembe

Mazembe

Rock Star
Platinum Level
Joined
Aug 7, 2024
Total posts
360
NA
Poker Chips
545
Casino Coins
0
  • #67
It's sucks to be honest, but it's part of the game. You can't fold KK,you have to call even when sometimes you can clearly tell that they have AA. If you start folding kings, you will also fold to players that overplay thier hands E.g QQ,JJ etc
 
Top