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General Poker
***1k Post SnG's & Their Advantages To MTTs***
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[QUOTE="Sean Pilgrim, post: 1412576, member: 53779"] Well let's just view these examples with probe bets: Example 1: You are BB with 9d9c, limped to you, you raise PF and get 2 callers. Flop comes Kd 2c 5d, You're first to act, You don't want to bet 1/2, 2/3, or make a pot sized c-bet, you want to represent AK obviously. If you go with 1/3 or 20%, this helps you somewhat control the pot. 1 Villain folds, and BTN Villian cold calls. That call should tell you he's either got middle pair, a weak king, or middle range flush/straight draws, which he may fold to a value bet on the turn, we turn the 9h, we hit our set and it's fairly obvious our villain is most likely on the flush/straight draw at this point due to cold calling such a small bet on the flop if he had Kx anything with a potential flush draw out there, he would have to bet to protect his hand, we know this turn didn't help him at all. We bet 2/3 pot for value. Villain debates, requests time, either he flat calls and tries to draw out on the river, or he donks off his draw here if he's paying attention to the bet sizing, may make him believe he can get us to fold a low middle pair he's probably putting us on A9, 9x, 3x, 5x. So if he flat calls and we should highly suspect that he is on the flush draw because chasing a straight draw when others are on a flush draw would be a little stupid. River comes a 2h. Now, if villain is smart and can pick up on our hand, he knows the only way he can win at this point is to bet, I would rather value bet here with the best hand from the BB, because as passively as he's played he's probably not going to bet into us. So here we can go 2/3rd which will never get called. Or we can attempt another probe sized bet on the river just to try to squeeze a litte more juice out of him or at this point villain my believe that we ourselves we're on the flush draw, and may try to shove into us, this is where this works great to get info on villain and induce a bluff with a filled up hand. Villain see's the 1/3 pot sized bet, waits requests time, shoves his remaining 60BB stack in there. This is exactly what we we're hoping for here snap call due to the way the hand played out. Here we were able to use a probe bet to gain info and it was enough to get 1 opponent out of the way post-flop, a weak call on the flop from player in position, with a flush and potential straight draw that was never completed. Example Two: (Probe Bet With Super-Aggressive Player) Here we are again in the BB with a small pocket pair. 4 limps from EP and MP, BTN raises 3xBB, we decide to call with 6s 7s, because BTN raises every time + all the dead money from limpers gives us decent pot odds. all limpers fold so now, we're in a somewhat decent spot, we don't really know where we are in the hand because button is so aggressive. Think in the range of 45/30/5. There's a lot of air in his range. We flop a straight and flush draw heads up against the BTN. 5s 8h As. [B]We bet 3BB's = 1/3 Pot, Out of Position for a little info,[/B] we definitely have a lot of equity in this hand, even though it's not made yet, we bet this amount to get some info on villain, Villain shoves, personally I would chase this draw against any air or Ax combos he could possibly hold there's a lot of equity in this hand, unless villain holds two higher spades. But if you we're just looking for some info Villian gave it to you, and it didn't cost you more than 3BB's you can either get away from it, or call due to there being 15 outs for you, 21 if villian is shoving with two high non spades. [/QUOTE]
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