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Poker Discussion
General Poker
TO: ALL ASPIRING PROS
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[QUOTE="zachvac, post: 827345, member: 26306"] I completely agree here. You can find past threads where I've been quoted as saying basically what you are, think about what will happen if you DON'T take that shot. But that's if you fit the criteria. None taken :) Did you miss the part where I've said I'm definitely considering taking a shot? It's just that I have a back-up plan in case I do fail, I'm pursuing a degree in computer science. Again, if you're 20, no responsibility, good skill set to fall back on if you fail, love poker, then by all means go for it. But if you're 40, have a wife and kids, a good job, house payments to make, and then you take a shot by quitting your job, you could hurt your entire family if you fail. That pressure alone would make it even harder for you to succeed. Poker requires patience and not relying on instant success. If you're short on money and need to work to make the payments, that's completely different. The bad part of poker is not an unknown, it's going broke, everyone knows what it is and as I mentioned, if I graduate from school, attempt to go pro in poker, and end up not cutting it and lose my entire poker bankroll, I can search for a job and probably be just fine. I don't plan on being married by that point and I certainly hope I don't have kids by then. I will have gotten my degree, so if I fail for whatever reason I can just look for a job and get right back on my feet. Others may not be able to do that. That's all I'm saying. The point is most likely you will fail, and making millions CAN be predicted. If you are currently beating a level for ~3 PTBB/100, going pro will not raise that to 5. You already know your current winrate, and that's only going to go down if you go pro. So you can already estimate your max winrate, take your winrate and project it onto 40 hours a week, 48 weeks a year (gives 4 weeks for vacations, breaks, getting sick, etc.). I highly doubt someone not pro already will see a number bigger than a million. So basically my point is most likely you'll fail, that's the grim reality. Should that prevent you if you have the right qualities? No. If you can handle failing, take the shot, you never know what you can do until you try. But if failing would ruin your life, cause you to have to declare bankruptcy, hurt your family, or anything like that then I'd say don't take the shot, because you'll probably fail and you'll probably end up hurting not only yourself but the loved ones around you as well. [/QUOTE]
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