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Message: [QUOTE="Mikeg, post: 1729310, member: 72871"] Ok odds of being dealt a pocket pair 19/1, Odds of a pair hitting a set on the flop 8/1 yes? So that should mean somebody should be making a set once every 152 hands yes? Now take into account the amount of times people fold low pairs pre-flop so dont actually see a flop, or the amount of times people raise with pairs and also dont see a flop because everybody folds, actually seeing somebody making a set off the flop should be much higher than once every 152 hands. But i will use the figure of 152 for my next calculation lol! Right if my stats show im currently playing 15% of my starting hands that would mean that would equate to me playing 23 out of every 152 hands. So am i right in saying the odds of me being up against a set after the flop whenever i play a hand would.... (152/23) x 152 Which is 1 in 1004 If so, could it be possible for any amount of variance to show a figure as low as in 1 in 50? [/QUOTE]