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Message: [QUOTE="Propane Goat, post: 6987711, member: 96298"] Best advice: don't assume that a bad outcome in one hand invalidates all of the strategy advice on how to act in that situation. Example - you call off your entire stack with AA in the big blind and lose to KK. This doesn't mean that calling off your stack with AA is a mistake. Worst advice: the opposite of the above, the bad outcome does invalidate all of the strategy advice and the sample size of 1 determines everything. The old geezer smoked three packs a day for 50 years and never got lung cancer, so that's why he says all of the doctors and health organizations are wrong about smoking causing lung cancer. People often forget that these situations are probabilistic, which means that there is no guarantee of what a single outcome will be. Instead, results of a huge number of samples of scenarios over the long term will trend toward a probability distribution that gives the likelihood of a specific outcome. [/QUOTE]