Reply to thread

Message

[QUOTE="dj11, post: 725709, member: 13851"]
For some uncontrollable reason I feel I must add to this.

-The most unlikely event in any random situation will be the statistically perfect event.

-At any 9 handed poker table, over time, you will get dealt the best hand 1/9th  of the time (11.111111111111111~%).  It is too easy to think that you will get cards once every 9 hands.  Statistically statistics can't really even take effect until the sample numbers are much larger than 9 hands, or 90, or really even 900 samples.  Though at 900 some trends can begin to appear.

-Against one opponent poker hand odds will stand up over time.

-Everyone tends to ignores or forgets the 'schooling' effect.  If against a single opponent you are favored, or against any of many opponents you are favored, if you put all of those opponents together against you, you fall below a 50% expectancy.  Think total outs against you.

This being said, OP's original thought about a consistent 51-49 'luck factor' edge are actually within statistical norms until you get close to an infinite number of comparisons.

I am reminded about a California man who has won the California lottery twice.

I have to consider that the OP has a correct thought.  I also have to believe that all samples before now have been me being on the underside of the 51-49 split, and that any day now, statistics and nature will force me to the other side!:D
[/QUOTE]

Verification

Search

Reply to thread

About CardsChat

Our Community

Our Site

Follow us