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[QUOTE="zachvac, post: 725792, member: 26306"]
First off the 32 out of 37 wouldn't even out. Expected is 18.5 and you're at losing 14 more than you should. Statistically after millions of coin flips, you should still be about 14 more losses than wins. The percentage gets closer to 50%, but overall the net should stay at -14.

But poker is not about winning coin flips. If you rely on coin flips the rake kills you anyway. We want to be BETTER than our opponents, and that's where the difference comes in. If we have that 55-45 edge there is a great chance that over a good amount of hands we'll be over 50%. We may not be over 55%, which is our expected, but with even bad luck we can still be above 50% and be a winning player. Speaking of which, just ran a simulation of a 55-45 player who again plays 100,000 hands. I ran it 100,000 times (ate lunch while it was running, it did take a while) and exactly ZERO of these 100,000 players were down at the end of the 100,000 hands flipping 55-45 coins in their favor. I may do a similar one overnight where instead of 100,000 people I do 1 million or 10 million even, just to see if I can get at least one person who loses over 100k hands with a 55-45 edge.
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