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Message: [QUOTE="firstcrack, post: 4722381, member: 220703"] A little off topic, but on the subject of probability in general, I remember what piqued my interest as an adolescent was when our math teacher used a commentator during a basketball game as an example of how a lot of folks don't really take the time to accuratley interpret games of chance. Here was the scenario: a basketball player is at the free-throw line and has a free-throw make percentage of 75%. The player misses a free-throw and the commentator remarks that this is not typical. Wrong. If you assume two free-throws each try, and you can be expected to make 3 out of ever 4, then you should expect to miss one free throw every other time at the free-throw line. Said another way, you should only expect to make both free-throws 50% of the time. So, the remark about being A-typical by the commentator is a bit of a reveal--i.e., demonstrates his lack of understanding of what the odds are telling us. [/QUOTE]