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Message: [QUOTE="blankoblanco, post: 992997, member: 11119"] zach, i'm about to blow your mind. there's something your math doesn't take into account. since it folded around to the blinds, there is a much greater than normal chance of there being more As and Ks left in the dealer's deck, since hands that people like to play or raise (especially live players :)) is skewed towards those which contain either of these cards. factoring this in, you could easily have 0 edge at all here, if not be a[I] slight underdog[/I] oh and on the other side of things, there's time equity. if, upon busting, you can go play some cash games that you're very +EV in, then you should be much more likely to take an early flip from a purely financial perspective (henceforth known as the phil ivey theorem) [/QUOTE]