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Poker Discussion
General Poker
Getting "priced in"
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[QUOTE="glworden, post: 895706, member: 35332"] [b]Bacon[/b] Wrong again, Cowboy. Tournaments would inevitably end because of the escalating blind structure. Nobody's saying everybody has to play the same. Creativity is good. But in the specific scenario you mention, we've given overwhelming evidence that it's simply a negative eV play - therefore a bad play. You don't agree, although you provide no cogent argument to the contrary, and say you want to do it anyway. So do it. Do you track your stats? You could change a few minds if you could show some evidence that over the long term you're making money in this situation. I suspect you're using selective memory. You've had a time or two where this has really worked out for you so you're convinced it's the way to go. But like I said, I think the 20% scenario itself is pretty darned rare. I doubt if there are many hands in your database that correspond to this scenario. And if it's a much smaller call - like a limpers' pot or a blind completion with five players - that's a different scenario. Still probably an overall loser for the same statistical reasons, although the smaller risks might justify the big implied odds. I'd probably call $50 or maybe $80 in this situation, but that's not the same as calling $300. It's a strange situation here. You have person after person trying to help you see the flaws in your reasoning (I'm pretty sure even your supporters are being sarcastic). But you just don't want to budge. The great thing about it is you have the right to do whatever the hell you want, so keep shipping that 20% whenever you think it's a good investment. I went to your website. Do I have to buy a whole package of meat or can I just buy some bacon? Looks like you have a good operation. Does all bacon have nitrates? My wife's had cancer twice and we're trying to stay away from all that stuff. Gary [/QUOTE]
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Getting "priced in"
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