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Poker Discussion
General Poker
How to deduce what hand your opponents has
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[QUOTE="PlayNow, post: 7199844, member: 1056890"] This is a classic spot where one hand can really mess with our perception of an opponent. About that previous KT hand Context matters here - did he shove KT as a bluff? Was it for value? What were the positions, stack sizes? One hand tells you very little about someone's 4-betting range. AJ offsuit vs a 4-bet This is almost always a fold against most opponents. AJ is pretty weak for calling 4-bets, especially offsuit. Even against a loose player, you're often behind their range. How to make the decision: [LIST=1] [*]Opponent's 4-bet frequency - if he's 4-betting 15%+ of hands, you can consider a call. If it's 3-5%, it's almost always a fold. [*]Position - in position with AJo you can sometimes call against very aggressive players, but out of position this is almost always negative EV. [*]Stack sizes - if effective stack is 20-30bb, this might be a jam/fold spot, but not a call. [*]Sample size - one hand with KT means nothing. You need more data on the player's style. [/LIST] My approach: [LIST] [*]Against unknown/tight opponent - auto-fold [*]Against a lag maniac with high 4-bet frequency - sometimes call in position [*]Against short stack - consider shoving as a bluff [/LIST] Bottom line: Don't let one weird KT hand change your fundamental strategy. AJ offsuit just isn't strong enough to play against most 4-betting ranges, especially without specific reads. Save your chips for better spots. That KT shove could have been anything - maybe he was tilted, maybe it was a perfect spot for a bluff, maybe he had some read you don't know about. Stick to solid fundamentals until you have a real sample size on the opponent! :) [/QUOTE]
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How to deduce what hand your opponents has
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