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How Long Can Bad Runs Last..
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[QUOTE="Luvepoker, post: 6810820, member: 307971"] The problem I see is it's not just time of how much you lose. Several years ago, I had my worse downturn. 10 months of losing and watching my roll shrink. Now I did figure out the issues and it was in my play, and I fixed it and finally started doing better. Now some will say 11+ months is a way to long of downturn. Losing money in 10 of the 11. Yes, that's bad. Now at that time I dd not play as much poker. That year I plated 133 tournaments. That is a really small sample size to be honest. Depending on what way you look at it it was really bad to not so bad. Worse still the 1 month I did well I did really well. It really affected my ROI that was up for the year. I won a satellite ticket and went to 3rd in the event. That one event actually gave me a positive ROI for the year, and I mean really positive. Taking that one event out made me not just a losing player but a big time losing ROI. now going to the 1st post it was said A guy lost 3 million. OK that's alot but if he was playing 100K events that's only 30 Buy ins. This would not make a winning player a ban on necessarily but in a downturn. Lets look at Danial Negreanu. Look at his last 2 WSOP years. He lost more than many make in a lifetime. Was it a bad player or downturn? The amount is high but look at the variety of games but ins he played? He could win a bracelet in the coleuses but still lost over 1/2 million in the series. When i come to downturns we need to remember poker is a long term game. Going a year and not winning is very possible. Have a great year and winning with a ROI of 100+ does not mean you're a real winning player. Its more about the volume and over time played that matters. [/QUOTE]
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