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General Poker
How realistic is a weekly 10% bankroll increase?
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[QUOTE="dj11, post: 749606, member: 13851"] I believe that the way you stated your potential goal you will run into some severe 'mathematical improbables'. During the early stages things can happen that way. But once you get into big stake games the sheer numbers will get you. However, a slight variation to your goal does seem more doable. Rather than a 10%/week increase, set stages or levels to benchmark against for some undefined period. Lets assume you start with $100. Still a couple of weeks away from where you state you are today. Using that 10% number per week on the $100 will net you $10 that first week. If you change it from increasing your br per week, to increasing your base ($100) per week until you hit a specific goal, perhaps $500, may be actually really easy. That would take 40 weeks. But I'm fairly certain you want a more accelerated ROI. So make it $300. At that point you change your base. Say the base is now $300, $30/week still really doable at that bankroll. The benefits here are a bit tighter control, without the looming improbability of an exponentially increasing goal. Plus the added experience at each level, and an expected gain in your ability to apply your talents. Dorkus's comments on variance suggest those variances will occur. You can count on them occurring. Some weeks you will not meet your goal, while other weeks you might far exceed you goal. So for any week, you will want to take that weeks performances in context with several weeks on either side of said week. Think rolling 5 day averages of a stock. Ignore the daily ups and downs. As for the improbability of it all. Consider the stock market. No stock can make 10% per week. But every stock strives for a better than 10% raise per year based on original stock price (base). If I'm a little old lady in Pheonix, with $100K in the stock market I might be very happy with 10K per year forever. Same lady might be thrilled with a 10% per month rate, but she will be rightfully leery. [/QUOTE]
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How realistic is a weekly 10% bankroll increase?
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