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Poker Discussion
General Poker
interesting tidbit.
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[QUOTE="zachvac, post: 635887, member: 26306"] Sorry, not buying the article. If you pit a horrible player (but at least knows the rules and some basic theory) against a top pro, they can simply push all-in every hand, or better yet Ax (which is more realistic to poker today). So even when the pro calls with KK, the worse player will win 30% of the time. You bit the Yankees against a decent high school or college team (equivalent to the not horrible poker player but still significantly worse than the pro) and the Yankees most likely don't give up a single run and win by 20 or more. I couldn't hit off of Roger Clemens, but I could tilt the odds against someone like Phil Ivey or Daniel Ngreanu (probably spelled that wrong) so that I win 20-30% of the time. I'll certainly take the 70-80% over the 20-30%, but against someone like Roger Clemens, I probably get a hit off him about as often as I win the lottery. the 20-30% may be my odds of making CONTACT the entire game. One big hand of NLHE and you lose all your money, one bad pitch or play in baseball and the worst that happens is a few runs score. Sure the pros win theoretically in the short run, but the theoretical part is governed by luck. If I get Ax vs. KK I could spike an A and get lucky. If I stick my bat out against Clemens and I make contact and it happens to land in fair territory somewhere for a hit, that's luck as well. Luck is a factor in baseball, that's why they discuss batting average. But when the pitcher allows a hit, it's not over. When a poker player is busted out of a tournament on luck, that's it he's gone. When a poker player loses a million dollar pot on HSP, the other guy can get up and leave, breathing a sigh of relief that they just won half a million when they would have 30% of the time over the long run. [/QUOTE]
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interesting tidbit.
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