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General Poker
*****(Loose) Aggressive April Chat Thread*****
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[QUOTE="feitr, post: 1163510, member: 34106"] It accounts for some luck obviously. But it doesn't account for set ups (KK vs AA, set vs TPTK/overpair, etc.) and it doesn't account for pots where you got most of the money in good, but when the last bet went in you were behind (for instance you have AA villain has QQ and villain calls you down on a xxxxQ board with the last bet going in on the river. You could be 97% to win on the turn and bet $1 on the river after villain hit his hand and have no change in all in EV even if the pot on the turn was $200). And these kind of situations occur more often than actual all in pots, although it depends on your style as some ppl will be more inclined to shove everything, rather than call down or whatever (if you call down and get sucked out on then it won't show up in an all in EV graph, even though range/line wise it may have been the most +EV thing to do). It also depends on the type of poker played. For instance, HU play has far more variables to luck (mostly due to greater metagame) IMO, which i think i said something about on the last page. Bottom line, looking at EV graphs does nothing good, although when you are running like shit it does help you feel a little better (or possibly worse if you are really bad). [/QUOTE]
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