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Message: [QUOTE="F Paulsson, post: 1162839, member: 6979"] Since I've only played 400NL at Party (and I've come to understand that it's a bit tougher there than on Stars), my input is a bit colored by that, but: I think you'll find that the big difference comes not first and foremost from fish getting tougher (they don't) or even more rare; the thing that's tougher is the other regs. You're no longer competing with regs that beat 100NL, you're now competing with regs that beat 200NL. The difference is very noticeable; specifically I think you have to get used to the idea of not having much of (if any) edge on them preflop and metagame and mixing up lines start to matter a lot. At 200NL, you can count on all regs to use HEM/PT, at 400 I think you can count on all regs writing notes on what you're doing. I talked a lot about this with Alan when I moved up and he warned about over-compensating. I think that's a real risk. You know that your opponents are better, and so you might start seeing "bluffs" everywhere you look, assuming that they're 3-betting you light all the time and try to adjust by 4-betting light or whatever. But in regards to that, I'll repeat that you won't (can't) really have a preflop edge on many of the decent regs because they've done most of the same work you have and they know that you know that they know etc. Trying to outplay good regs preflop is just an expensive exercise in paying rake. Moving up is never a problem as long as you don't psychologically marry the new level and have no qualms about moving down again if the shot doesn't work out. If I were you I'd set aside 10 buy-ins for 400NL and let it ride. If it works out; great - if it doesn't, you'll still have an $8k roll for 200NL. 30k hands is a decent but not great sample. You can certainly run hot or cold for 30k hands (I certainly hope so; I'm in a 30k hand break-even stretch currently). [/QUOTE]

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