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Poker Discussion
General Poker
The perfect poker bet.
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[QUOTE="Beriac, post: 414958, member: 9064"] I think if I believe that the villain is most likely drawing and I have the best hand, I try to figure out what his odds are and give him worse odds than that, but getting villain to fold to an astronomical bet isn't a win. The objective is to make your opponent make mistakes, and folding to a 3x pot-sized bet is not a mistake. So I try to give tempting but incorrect odds to calls. If my opponent has a 3:1 shot of making his flush, I'll give him 4:1 to 5:1. People who don't bother with "math" in poker might call anyway, and it's EV+ for me every time they do. Sometimes I lose, but on balance because of the way the probabilities work it's beneficial for me every time that gets called. Of course, I ought to point out that I also saw an episode of [I]Learn with the Pros[/I] recently, and they highlighted the time that Negreanu bluffed Freddy Deeb out of a huge pot [B]by making a similarly small bet on the river[/B]. Whereas in your example he used it to make his curious opponent call, in mine he made it seem to his opponent that that's what he wanted to do, and Deeb folded the best hand. I am guessing that the difference here is how he perceived the skill level of his opponent. Something to keep in mind when someone throws that bet out at you, or when you try it to someone else... [/QUOTE]
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