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[QUOTE="aliengenius, post: 656321, member: 11924"] Ok. Right, 10:1 is the absolute min ratio (imo). Thus 9:1, 8:1, 7:1, 6:1, 5:1 etc. is NOT enough. Why? Because if your opponent only has, say 5x the bet behind him, you are not going to make enough money [B][I]long term[/I][/B] to make up for the amount you have to call. Say you and your opponent both have $50, and he bet $10. If you have 1,000 trials, where you have to call $10 to win $50 (assuming you win when you hit the set, which as the second article points out, isn't a given), you will call off $10,000 ($10 x 1,000); and you will flop a set 133 out of those 1,000 times so you will win $6,650 (133 x $50 that he had total in his stack), for a net loss of $3,350. Now if stacks are $200 each and you have to call $10 to win $200 over 1,000 trials you will call off $10,000 ($10 x 1,000 trials, same as above), buy you will win $26,000 (133 flopped sets, x $200 in opponents stack), for a net gain of +16,000. See the difference? Anyway, the real point is that there are many mitigating factors: 1. rake, 2. you wont stack him every single time, 3. possibly raised off the hand by another opponent, 4. lose to bigger set, lose to flush or lose to straight. that add up to needing more than the 7.5:1 stack to bet ratio that is the odds of flopping your set. [/QUOTE]
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