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Poker Discussion
General Poker
poker players overestimate the skill factor in their play
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[QUOTE="fletchdad, post: 1952603, member: 65205"] I am too tired to read the link, but based on what you pasted above, 2 things jump to immediate attention. 1. "In Prof Meyer's study, 300 poker players took part, playing 60 hands each on tables of six. They were divided into "expert" and "average" players, and their ability to make money from good, bad and average hands was assessed. It turned out that - as you might expect - "expert" players lost less money on bad hands; but surprisingly, they did no better than average players on mediocre hands and even made slightly less on good ones. The conclusion, says Meyer, is that "poker players overestimate the skill factor in their play"." ^^^^ First, who get to categorize the players as "expert" etc? And 60 hands??? hmmmmm 2. "But, he says, that's not how we should work. "Say you bet, and the next card [which you need] is the six of clubs," he says. "That's irrelevant. What matters is that there were only three sixes in the pile, and 40 other cards. You got lucky." He uses the game to teach the risks of hindsight bias to traders." ^^^^ Was the bet to draw a 6 of clubs?? So many things wrong with the hand analysis and its conclusion. So many factors not explained. Cant even begin to say why this line of thinking is wrong.... From what I read, these guys dont understand how holdem is played, and what dynamics are involved.. Sure, luck is involved. Ask any tourney player if they need to get lucky to win. Sure they do, but the skill is so paramount to constant winners..... They dont rely on luck, they simply welcome it..... [/QUOTE]
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poker players overestimate the skill factor in their play
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