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[QUOTE="N.D., post: 1125398, member: 30036"]
You've been here for two years and only just now found this thread, and you think it's sad that people still ask what percentage of the game is luck vs. skill?  Two years, and only just now finding a thread that was really hot when it was first posted.

I'm not about to attack your spelling lest someone else attack my grammar, but, poker is not solely a game of long term winnings.  You say never short term, but I say - never say never.

Allow me to explain.  Not too long ago in his video blog, Daniel Negreanu shared that he was trying the Chris Ferguson Challenge.  He was saying how turning nothing into thousands of dollars is so baller(how the hell do u spell it?).  I say if the challenge is good enough for Daniel it's good enough for everyone, and there are lessons to be learned.  Let's approach this mathematically shall we?  I'm mega-crap at math so I'll probably be off by a few percent.  Oh and it's a word problem.  Hope those aren't too tricky for you.

Chris is a very good poker player.  He can push a bankroll of $0 up to $10,000 within a year.  If he only plays according to his own rules for buy-ins, how much of his $10,000 is won through luck?  How much of it is earned through skill?

Answer: 100% through luck.

Now you can do a double take and tell me I'm bat-$hit crazy for thinking it was all through luck.  You're wrong I'm right.  Why?  Because he had to get started somehow.  Without initial luck he would never have built a large enough bankroll to withstand downswings + allow him to use his skills.  Short term luck, long term skill, the end.
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