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Poker Discussion
General Poker
Poker, Skill or Luck? what %
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[QUOTE="BrentD22, post: 795569, member: 27126"] I got into an arguement about a guy going all-in with AcJc - he was UTG+1 and went all-in. This was a 9 person sit-n-go and he only had 1200 in chips left and I had knocked out the 1st 4 people (starting chip stack 3000) I now had over 15000+ in chips with 5 players left everyone folded to my in the BB with 4c5c. I called... He was like WTF man what a stupid call. Oh the blinds where 200-400 - The way I looked at it was that I was most likely a 60-40% dog, but I had a huge stack and I could knock someone out of the tournament and I already had 400 in the pot I only had to call 800 to win 3000 in chips (the UTG did call 400, but was obz folding even if I folded or called). I felt like I had good odds to call and I could knock off another player + pick-up some chips. He said I was an idiot for calling and that I was ssooo lucky. What do you guys think luck or skill? I believe I took a chance and gambled, but I also didn't do this blindly and without realizing the implications. I would still have PLENTY of chips and only double up the idiot anyway if I lost which was no big deal to me. Winning however would have taken out another player and make my stack that much bigger all for 800 chips out of my 15000+ chips stack. We then had a discussion about luck and poker. I said he was lucky he wasn't dominated by AQ or AK and he said it was such a small chance anyone had AK or AQ and I ask why? The deal is completely random. I understand that if he has an ace there is only 3 left in the deck. I said I may have won with a 40% chance of winning, but I said again he was "lucky" that someone didn't have AQ or AK and I believe that is where luck comes into poker. When you go all-in with any hand other than AA pre-flop you are taking a risk that you are an underdog. When you are called by a hand that has a lower % to win pre-flop and you don't have AA you where lucky you didn't run into a better hand. Does this make sense? [/QUOTE]
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