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Message: [QUOTE="nevadanick, post: 796012, member: 27547"] Excellent. In a nutshell ... AA winning 75%, over 1 million hands (in YOUR hand). You wake up to AA 6 times a day. You need Tracker to record 166,667 days of (your) AA hands. that's only 456 years (and 7 months). You will only face losing your AA for 114 years (and 2 months), in whatever 'variance' order they come. In defining 'luck', the parameters aren't there for an exact definition, IMO. What i do believe is that 'luck' factors in most in poker when playing NL games and betting all-ins PRE-river card. Unless you have a superuser account, there is NO WAY to know what is coming from the dealer next. Betting on unseen cards is the 'luck' factor. Call it 'variance, that's poker, coolers, or..?' if you want, but when a player goes all-in against an unfinished board, it's nothing more than finding out what Lady Luck will do to you TODAY. [/QUOTE]