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General Poker
Poker, Skill or Luck? what %
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[QUOTE="N.D., post: 922522, member: 30036"] IMHO variance is overrated. Before anyone yells at me, I believe in variance. Believe isn't even the right word since it's been proven to exist. I know it's real, however... Without a BR that can handle the variance, particular those occasional long stretches where every time you have great odds of winning only boom! suckage, I'm sorry but, at that point variance might as well be luck. Variance isn't predictable. It's not like a major storm where you get warning weeks in advance and provided you can afford to get the hell out, ya hurry up and get the hell out. No it's more like an earthquake you know it's inevitable. You just don't know when it's coming or how.(Okay so every hand has variance, but you know I'm meaning the bad kind, where things work out all wrong). Also like an earthquake, there can be aftershocks. Some earthquakes hit and that's it just the one little tremmor. Others hit and you still feel the ground shaking at intervals for quite awhile afterwards. It was like that with Loma Prieta. Until I have at least a few hundred bucks to play with, I need good luck. A few hundred bucks is enough to play for the long haul at microstakes, and will cover a losing streak or two. Good luck lets you run $5 up to $500. Skill seems to let you do it faster because you can fully captalize on those winning hands, and get out of the losing ones with a minimum of loss. I'm just saying, while variance affects everyone, good or bad, it's not something you can really work with until you have enough loot to cover it. [/QUOTE]
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