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Poker Discussion
General Poker
re: The Elusive Million Hand Sample Analysis
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[QUOTE="vinnie, post: 3812119, member: 95995"] This website is pretty good: [url]http://www.spadebidder.com/about/[/url] But, it's based on a database with over a billion hands, not a million. So, sorry about that. His analysis involved hundreds of millions of flops and situations. His primary focus is on discussion of flop distributions and what we should expect (based on the hands people see flops with) and what we actually see. You really should read all 7 parts, because it does explain some observations that he gets to later. For example, flops will have fewer Aces than you would expect if you just dealt out 3 random cards from the deck. This is because, you only see a flop when two or more players have decided to play their hands. The hands with Aces are more frequently chosen to be played, so there is a high degree of probability that one or more Aces is not in the deck. When you account for this, the numbers work out very nicely. The math is a bit heavy, but not overwhelming. This guy has done a lot of work on this dataset, and published what he has found. I don't believe he has access to all the hole cards, so the type of analysis is a little different from what you would do with your own database, where you do have access to your own cards to prove you are being dealt the right distribution and are hitting hands with the right frequency. [/QUOTE]
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re: The Elusive Million Hand Sample Analysis
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