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[QUOTE="zachvac, post: 834282, member: 26306"] Against a loose player, you want to mix up your play in a way that makes his calls as incorrect as possible (from a G-Bucks perspective) without making him realize and start folding. Against a tight player, you want to mix up your play so that he’s as incorrect as possible when he folds, without making him loosen up enough to play correctly. So, against a loose but observant player, you might want to bluff this river around 18% of the time, and against a tight but observant player, maybe around 45%. Against a very loose but unobservant player or a very tight but unobservant player, you would want to almost never bluff or almost always bluff, respectively. Another tip I have for you is to see how cards that fall affect ranges. You raise pre-flop and the BB calls, and the flop is 7-8-2 with two spades. He checks, you bet, and he calls. You think he raises most draws so you don’t put him on spades or a straight draw. The turn is 10s. You should usually bet almost everything when he checks because his range can’t like that turn card and probably can’t stand the heat. Or let’s say you raise pre-flop UTG six-handed with Q-J offsuit and only the SB calls. Flop is 10-8-4 rainbow. He check-calls a bet from you. Turn is a 2 off-suit. Check, check. River is an ace. He checks. This card, while not improving your actual hand, improved your range a lot. Plenty of the hands that you play like this contain an ace. That makes this card a good card to bluff on. You shouldn’t necessarily always bluff in this spot, but you should more than if the river were a ten or a five. Just like before, you should balance your play so that it’s a tough decision for your opponent based on your range. One trap I’ve seen people fall into is the following: You raise 6-5 off-suit on the button and the BB calls. The board comes out QdJd4h4s7d Your opponent check-calls a pot-sized bet on every street and wins with Qs10s. You think to yourself, “What a terrible call. My range is like, flush draws, sets, two pair, and straight draws, and then, every once in a long while, just pure air. Every draw hit except for the straight draws. He’s way behind my range.” So you almost never have complete air, but just decided to bluff this time with it? That could be true, but it’s probably likely that you would’ve fired all three streets with a lot of air hands here. Be honest with yourself about your range. Don’t use G-Bucks analysis as an excuse to make bad plays. Don’t use it to console yourself after losing a hand by proving how bad your opponent’s play was. Use Galfond Dollars to balance your play, to exploit your opponents’ weaknesses, and to keep level-headed when you make a play that happened to be incorrect this time, but is still the right play. The worst form of running bad is when you make good calls or bluffs or value bets that happen to be wrong over and over again. It makes you feel like you’re playing badly when you aren’t. I hope you got something out of this. If you don’t understand it yet, or don’t know yet how to apply it, save this article and reread it when you are ready. Reread it if you find yourself making what appear to be bad call-downs or bad bluffs. Go over your ranges and your opponents’ ranges and see if they really were bad plays. Reread this if you find yourself unsure how to play against an opponent who plays too aggressively or too loose or too anything. Think about what his ranges are on every street, and the best way to play against him. Good luck at the tables. I hope you all become Galfond Billionaires. [/QUOTE]
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