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Poker Discussion
General Poker
The river card! Does that happen to you too?
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[QUOTE="BaldHead, post: 7313136, member: 1062426"] First, it’s important to separate two things: the feeling of a sequence of hands and the actual frequency of events. When you often find yourself in situations like “I’m ahead on the flop → the turn ruins everything,” the mind tends to remember only the painful outcomes. The winning lines of the same type are usually taken for granted and quickly forgotten. This is called negativity bias. Second, poker’s structure itself explains a lot: On the flop, equity often looks like a “big advantage,” but in reality it’s more like 55/45 or 60/40, not 90/10 A single card on the turn or river can often change everything because ranges are still wide The more hands you play, the more often you will see these “turnarounds,” simply because volume makes them inevitable A simple example: if you have 65% equity on the flop, you will still lose around 35% of the time by the river. This is not a “bad run” — it’s just normal math. Now the important part about your feeling of “I lose more often and feel drained.” Usually two things are mixed here: Variance (normal) — unavoidable swings Emotional reaction (controllable) — fatigue and tilt amplify the perception of losses If after such hands you “break down,” the issue is not that poker is breaking you, but that each individual cooler is being treated as a judgment of your play, even though it’s just variance noise. Practically, this is not fixed by “mental toughness” alone, but structurally: evaluate sessions, not individual hands (or at least 1–2k hands) focus on decisions, not results accept in advance that even with perfect play you will often lose with strong equity advantages [/QUOTE]
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The river card! Does that happen to you too?
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