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Message: [QUOTE="WVHillbilly, post: 853409, member: 29447"] Well, if you assign him a range of say Any Pair/AJo+/ATs+/ and maybe all suited connectors down to 78s , which I think is reasonable for a loose UTG raiser, your preflop equity is about 70%. After the flop against the same range your equity actually drops to around 62% (because of all the suited connectors we included in his range) but after the turn your back to around a 70% favorite. That's way too big of an equity advantage to not 3bet preflop (because if an A or K hits the flop your equity plummets). Your also too far ahead on the turn to overbet the pot on the turn trying to "push" your opponent off his hand. All your turn bet does is ensure that your opponent wins your entire stack if he has a monster and let's him off cheaply if he has a hand he would have called a value bet with (in other words your opponent likely won't make a mistake when you push all-in on the turn here). [/QUOTE]