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Message: [QUOTE="SavagePenguin, post: 1165741, member: 22087"] I agree with this, *if* you can adapt to a winning DoN strategy. Double or Nothing games are pretty different from regular S&G's. In a normal S&G, risking your neck on a 50/50 shot is often fine because the benefit of having a lot of chips (and thereby a better chance at a top finish, where most of the money is) outweighs the risk of getting knocked out. But in a Double or Nothing S&G you must cash in 57.5% of the standard $1.15 games, or 55% of the $1.10 turbos. If you don't cash that often you are losing money to the rake. Because of that, [B]coin flips are poison[/B]. In other words, on hand #1 of a $1.15 game, if played A shoves with Q/Q and player B calls with A/Ks they are *both* long-term losers. Q/Q is only 53.6% to win, so taking a coin flip like that means that they'll have a -3.9% ROI in this situation in the long run. A/Ks is only 46% to win, which means they'll have a -11.5% ROI in this scenario. Now, your big advantage is that people don't realize this and they play too aggressively. Often, they're almost broke and consider these DoN's a way to get lucky and double up. So people are generally way too aggressive. Just sit back and wait for opportunities. If you have a big hand, raise 5 bb's and let the donks call. Remember, you do not need a ton of chips. If I get $3k I consider the game won, as the others will generally kill themselves off before I get in danger. I mean, I still play my regular game. If a tight/smart shorty on my left is in the BB, I will steal. In the beginning of these things I play tight and open to 5 big blinds with my great hands, and 3 bb's with A/Q-. But towards the end people are looking to survive, so I'll raise to 2.5 bb's with both legit hand and steals. Toward the end it's a matter of stealing from people who aren't apt to call (middle stacks who aren't desperate or calling machines, from late position). One thing I want to clarify: I'm not saying don't ever shove with A/K, or 4/4 or whatever. But you want to do this when you feel there is a signifcant chance that you will not get called. Because if you are called, you're usually in a losing situation. [/QUOTE]

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