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[QUOTE="bazerk, post: 1392458, member: 62743"]
[SIZE=1]You didn't mention anything about events being independent until post #18 AFTER my post #17. [/SIZE]
 
As indicated in Dr Alspach's paper...[U]there can be 3 different[/U] [U]interpretations[/U] of the ??? 'What are the chances I'll be dealt back-to-back pocket Aces.' 
 
From my perspective I see being dealt A.A consecutively as an:
[B]Independent Event: [/B]The occurrence of one event has no effect on the probability of the occurrence of any other event. 
 
Based on your posts (if I'm reading them correctly?), your perspective of being dealt A.A consecutively is based on:
[B]Conditional probability:[/B] The probability of some event [I]A[/I], [U]given[/U] the occurrence of some other event [I]B[/I].
 
The CC community has peeps with varied knowledge & expertise with a commonality interest in poker; for someone who may not have taken a Stat class, the direction of this thread might be confusing -- since the [I]same data[/I] can be used for mulitple analyses with [I]different outcomes[/I].
 
Anyway, here's a more detailed version of this topic (I preferred the prior paper since it also addressed some other poker-related situations).
 
I really don't want to hijack [I]froghump's[/I] thread any further as this is outside the scope of the OP.
[/QUOTE]

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