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Poker Discussion
General Poker
Variance in NLH/PLO - Misconceptions?
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[QUOTE="Schatzdog, post: 664808, member: 5833"] Okay, Here's what I think, so take it for what it's worth. 1. [B]There is no such thing as running bad only playing bad[/B]. I completely disagree with this. Let's say you flop top set on a two flush board. You and your opponent both get it in on the flop and his flush lands. This happens three/four times in a row (which is fairly reasonable) or substitute any other bad beat. Now you've dropped a few buy-ins but have played "perfect" poker, getting it in with the best. So I think you need to add a time factor to the above statement. If you're a good player you can run bad in the short-term but over the long term making the same decisions and actions leads to a healthy uptrending equity curve. 2. [B]Over time, percentages even out and a bad string of cards becomes erased by a good string of cards. [/B]I would say it this way. In the long-run we all get the same cards, making equal number of straights, sets, FH, flushes etc.....The difference between one players P/L over another, generally speaking, will be the difference between what you won with you great hands versus what you lost with your second best hands. Value betting is a huge skill. Equally important is minimising losses when it all goes sour. This is all very general but the range of skills involved in achieving this is extremely wide. I think your point about the small pot vs big pot / coinflip is valid. But I think this will only be a problem if you consistently play only against short-stacks. Select tables where everyone is deep, or alternatively play as a short-stack yourself. [/QUOTE]
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Variance in NLH/PLO - Misconceptions?
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