Reply to thread

Message: [QUOTE="puzzlefish, post: 5454031, member: 307275"] Regarding your question, I have posted a similar topic about variance where I got no responses. [url]https://www.cardschat.com/forum/online-poker-73/variance-be-measured-405921/[/url] In live poker I am sure that some level of intuition is involved with luck and definitely a big psychological component. For example, you may think you are running bad and start overfolding.. or you may think you are running like a god and essentially bluff people off of stronger hands with your confidence. In online poker I am very sceptical that variance is a truly random phenomenon. There are too many "aberations" that show up, with some unique to a particular site while others seem to appear on multiple sites. For example, when a player wins a big pot by hitting a draw that is the stone cold nuts for the particular board, almost all poker sites seem to punish this player over the next two to three hands and just about any hand dealt to that player is extremely likely to get cracked. In an environment where the cards are dealt truly randomly, this would not be observed over and over. There are many more aberations such as this one and players who pay attention take advantage of them. So if even this one aspect of online poker is flawed and not truly random, then variance in online poker is implicitly artificial and can be manipulated by players, by the site, or both. So linking back to your story about the poker players talking about changing rooms to end streaks of bad luck.. maybe it isn't bad luck? Maybe there are other circumstances in place that modify what humans perceive as "luck" for lack of better awareness of these said circumstances. I am sure there has to be a way to distinguish luck or variance from something that is not random, but there doesn't seem to be any ideas around here as to how to go about doing that. [/QUOTE]

Verification

Search

Reply to thread

About CardsChat

Our Community

Our Site

Follow us