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Message: [QUOTE="zachvac, post: 930190, member: 26306"] Here's a deal. I have a 60/40 coin I'm going to flip ok? If it lands on the 40%, I will pay you $500. You negotiate a deal. You get $300 no matter what and only $100 if the 40% comes up. ev: 1. .4*500 = $200 2. 300+.4*100 = $340 Clearly #2 is more lucrative. But say you win. Why'd you take #2? If you had just seen how the coin landed you could have gotten $500 instead of just the $400 you got with #2. Do you understand how you are being results oriented and how your logic is extremely bad? Would you take #1 in this example? [/QUOTE]