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Poker Discussion
General Poker
Weird Question about Variance?
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[QUOTE="louaylouay, post: 4286621, member: 133597"] I know that "over time, a winning strategy will win," but I was just thinking of something and I wonder if anyone else has looked into it. Variance is a necessary evil in poker, everyone has seen it. When AA gets beat by 72 it seems like the deck is stacked against us and blah blah blah. It's just expected variance. My question is, since we do not live in a perfect world, anyone who is only putting their money in while they are ahead will ONLY experience the bad side of variance. Is that not a bad thing to be doing? Assuming that you are ALWAYS ahead when you get your money in, you will lose with the best hands some times, but never win with the worst hands (because you dont play them). So you will have a below-expected outcome, since you are not seeing the positive side of variance, ever. You will only be winning the percentage of hands you should win MINUS your bad beats. I hope that makes sense, I can elaborate if needed. Anyone have any ideas? [/QUOTE]
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