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Message: [QUOTE="Falloooooon, post: 1195226, member: 29073"] I can never remember off the top of my head how exactly to calculate odds like this. It's not that difficult, just arithmetic, but I'd have to look it up and I'm not too keen on that right now. But it wouldn't surprise me if it was in the one-in-a-millions range. Speaking of though, check out what just happened to me during a matrix SNG I just wrapped up at Full Tilt. These two hands are on different tables, but they did happen consecutively (blinds changed right after the first hand). -------------------- [b]HAND 1[/b] -------------------- $2.25 Buy-in (120/240 blinds) No Limit Hold'em Sit'N'Go, 2 Players [url="http://www.stoxpoker.com/pokertools/"]Poker Tools[/url] by [url="http://www.stoxpoker.com/"]Stoxpoker[/url] - [url="http://www.stoxpoker.com/pokertools/hand/42034/"]Hand Details[/url] [url="http://www.stoxpoker.com/pokertools/hand/42034/replay/"][img]http://www.stoxpoker.com/pokertools/hand/status/42034.png?[/img][/url] BB: 10,200 (42.5 bb) Hero (BTN): 3,300 (13.8 bb) [b]Pre-Flop[/b]: Hero is BTN with [img]http://www.stoxpoker.com/pokertools/images/decks/2colors_small/8h.png[/img] [img]http://www.stoxpoker.com/pokertools/images/decks/2colors_small/As.png[/img] Hero calls 120, [color="red"]BB raises to 720[/color], [color="red"]Hero raises to 3,300 and is all-in[/color], BB calls 2,580 [b]Flop[/b]: (6,600) [img]http://www.stoxpoker.com/pokertools/images/decks/2colors_small/Qs.png[/img] [img]http://www.stoxpoker.com/pokertools/images/decks/2colors_small/5c.png[/img] [img]http://www.stoxpoker.com/pokertools/images/decks/2colors_small/7d.png[/img][color="blue"] (2 players, 1 is all-in)[/color] [b]Turn[/b]: (6,600) [img]http://www.stoxpoker.com/pokertools/images/decks/2colors_small/Kd.png[/img][color="blue"] (2 players, 1 is all-in)[/color] [b]River[/b]: (6,600) [img]http://www.stoxpoker.com/pokertools/images/decks/2colors_small/Jd.png[/img][color="blue"] (2 players, 1 is all-in)[/color] [b]Results:[/b] 6,600 pot BB showed [img]http://www.stoxpoker.com/pokertools/images/decks/2colors_small/3h.png[/img] [img]http://www.stoxpoker.com/pokertools/images/decks/2colors_small/3d.png[/img] (a pair of Threes) and won 6,600 (3,300 net) Hero showed [img]http://www.stoxpoker.com/pokertools/images/decks/2colors_small/8h.png[/img] [img]http://www.stoxpoker.com/pokertools/images/decks/2colors_small/As.png[/img] (high card Ace) and lost (-3,300 net) Then: -------------------- [b]HAND 1[/b] -------------------- $2.25 Buy-in (150/300 blinds) No Limit Hold'em Sit'N'Go, 4 Players [url="http://www.stoxpoker.com/pokertools/"]Poker Tools[/url] by [url="http://www.stoxpoker.com/"]Stoxpoker[/url] - [url="http://www.stoxpoker.com/pokertools/hand/42036/"]Hand Details[/url] [url="http://www.stoxpoker.com/pokertools/hand/42036/replay/"][img]http://www.stoxpoker.com/pokertools/hand/status/42036.png?[/img][/url] BTN: 1,115 (3.7 bb) SB: 2,270 (7.6 bb) Hero (BB): 4,565 (15.2 bb) CO: 5,550 (18.5 bb) [b]Pre-Flop[/b]: Hero is BB with [img]http://www.stoxpoker.com/pokertools/images/decks/2colors_small/8h.png[/img] [img]http://www.stoxpoker.com/pokertools/images/decks/2colors_small/Ah.png[/img] CO folds, [color="red"]BTN raises to 600[/color], SB folds, [color="red"]Hero raises to 4,565 and is all-in[/color], BTN calls 515 and is all-in [b]Flop[/b]: (2,380) [img]http://www.stoxpoker.com/pokertools/images/decks/2colors_small/2d.png[/img] [img]http://www.stoxpoker.com/pokertools/images/decks/2colors_small/Qd.png[/img] [img]http://www.stoxpoker.com/pokertools/images/decks/2colors_small/7c.png[/img][color="blue"] (2 players, 2 are all-in)[/color] [b]Turn[/b]: (2,380) [img]http://www.stoxpoker.com/pokertools/images/decks/2colors_small/3c.png[/img][color="blue"] (2 players, 2 are all-in)[/color] [b]River[/b]: (2,380) [img]http://www.stoxpoker.com/pokertools/images/decks/2colors_small/4h.png[/img][color="blue"] (2 players, 2 are all-in)[/color] [b]Results:[/b] 2,380 pot BTN showed [img]http://www.stoxpoker.com/pokertools/images/decks/2colors_small/3d.png[/img] [img]http://www.stoxpoker.com/pokertools/images/decks/2colors_small/3s.png[/img] (three of a kind, Threes) and won 2,380 (1,265 net) Hero showed [img]http://www.stoxpoker.com/pokertools/images/decks/2colors_small/8h.png[/img] [img]http://www.stoxpoker.com/pokertools/images/decks/2colors_small/Ah.png[/img] (high card Ace) and lost (-1,115 net) So, we have 2 hands, A8 v. 33. One flopped Q75, the other Q72. Even though the flops were different by a card, I would think that the odds of the opponent having the same hand with one card different on the flop could be even higher? When this was going on, I really thought the flops were the same, but playing 3 shorthanded tables as that matrix SNG at the same time, I couldn't check until after. [/QUOTE]

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