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Message: [QUOTE="Munchrs, post: 1372353, member: 20797"] you are playing in a sattelite to the WSOP main event on pokerstars. top 8 places recieve $12 500. $2500 travel expenses and $10k buyin. There was 500 entrants and your down the the final 9. Stacksizes are UTG - 1BB UTG+1 - 1BB EP - 10BB MP - 20BB LP - 20BB CO - 10BB BTN - 20BB SB(Hero) - 3BB BB - 1.3BB Dealt to Hero AA UTG folds, UTG+1 folds, EP shoves, MP shoves, LP folds, CO calls, BTN calls, BB folds. Hero should fold. Its is impossible for all four AIPF players to have AA. The best possible combination of hands the can have is AA,KK,KK,QQ. The chance of a split pot if the all have random hands is 1.38%. If the have AA,KK,KK,QQ then the chance of a split pot is at the very best 0.37%. This doesnt account for the fact that if the two 20BB stacks had KK and split on a QJT98 board then there would be eliminations and you would win a package. UTG/SB is going to be allin the very next hand. So even if you get the worst badbeat of all time and the board comes 45678 rainbow and it is split four ways then the current SB and UTG are going to be AIPF no matter wha tthe very next hand. Also the hand after that UTG+1 will be AIPF aswell. There is simply no way that getting it in with AA is a profitable play here, equity win tie pots won pots tied [/SIZE] Hand 0: 11.050% 10.46% 00.59% 312954 17713.98 { random }[/SIZE] Hand 1: 11.027% 10.44% 00.58% 312498 17479.65 { random }[/SIZE] Hand 2: 11.031% 10.45% 00.59% 312561 17534.82 { random }[/SIZE] Hand 3: 11.044% 10.45% 00.59% 312802 17685.98 { random }[/SIZE] Hand 4: 55.847% 55.43% 00.42% 1658724 12460.57 { AA }[/SIZE] Against completely random hands(this means that sometime they have 72o) we have 55 % equity. We loose 45% of the time and dont get the WSOP package. Even if MP wins and 4 players are elimininated, we have the shortstack and go out in 9th. getting allin with our AA is simply the worst play so i reccomend folding preflop. [/QUOTE]

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