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Message: [QUOTE="pat3392, post: 1426907, member: 64730"] I'm trying to figure out some of the mathematical sides of poker, and trying to develop some sort of systematical playing style. I know decent players will pick up on this, but I'm playing at micro stakes so I don't think this is an issue for the time being. Plus, when it becomes an issue, I can make little rules to confuse the hell out of players. I want to make some sort of system because this will help me make good plays when in difficult decisions, and let me learn from my mistakes. Ok, here is the actual question. Trying to figure out how many chips I would have to make in order for[FONT=Verdana] playing suited connectors to be profitable. So, here's some lovely math ;) The chance of a two pair is [/FONT] [FONT=Times][FONT=Verdana](6*5*44 * 3)/(50*49*48) = 0.03367346939 The chance for three of a kind: 6*5*4/50*49*48=1.020408163x10^-3 The chance for a flush: 11x10x9/50x49x48=8.418367347x10-3 The chance for a straight:4x4x4/50x49x48=5.442176871x10^-4 All of these added up are .04365646259 This means that you will make a decent hand 4% of the time. Therefore, you should only call with suited connectors if you believe that you will make 25 blinds when you hit your hand. Since this is fairly high, one should only call suited low suited connectors if people are deep stacked(the question is how deep stacked) and if the table is particualry loose. Now, they're some things to consider: 1) what if someone raises? 2) what if someone makes an even better hand than the one i make(for example, i make two pair and someone else hits a better two pair) 3) what is i made a mistake in my calculation? So, am wondering if you guys could tell me what you guys think of this. I'm going to try to figure out other rules aswell; I'm still not sure what hands I should play, the internet tells me to play too tight in my opinion(I play at loose turbo sit and gos/multi tables) [/FONT] [/FONT] [/QUOTE]

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